The competitive balance in this market stems from the four pivotal 2026 Senate contests in Maine, North Carolina, Michigan, and Georgia, where Democrats must prevail in each to achieve a sweep amid a map requiring a net gain of four seats for chamber control. Retirements in Michigan and North Carolina, combined with vulnerable incumbents in Georgia and Maine, have produced tight polling averages and heavy outside spending, with recent primaries clarifying nominees in several states. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over national conditions, candidate fundraising edges, and voter turnout in these battlegrounds, where small shifts in swing-state dynamics or late developments such as economic indicators or debate performances could alter implied probabilities in either direction.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Ganarán los demócratas las "cuatro principales" contiendas por el Senado?
¿Ganarán los demócratas las "cuatro principales" contiendas por el Senado?
Sí
50% probabilidad
$19,791 Vol.
$19,791 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Sí
50% probabilidad
$19,791 Vol.
$19,791 Vol.
3 nov 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.The competitive balance in this market stems from the four pivotal 2026 Senate contests in Maine, North Carolina, Michigan, and Georgia, where Democrats must prevail in each to achieve a sweep amid a map requiring a net gain of four seats for chamber control. Retirements in Michigan and North Carolina, combined with vulnerable incumbents in Georgia and Maine, have produced tight polling averages and heavy outside spending, with recent primaries clarifying nominees in several states. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over national conditions, candidate fundraising edges, and voter turnout in these battlegrounds, where small shifts in swing-state dynamics or late developments such as economic indicators or debate performances could alter implied probabilities in either direction.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
Mercado abierto: Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Volumen
$19,791Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.The competitive balance in this market stems from the four pivotal 2026 Senate contests in Maine, North Carolina, Michigan, and Georgia, where Democrats must prevail in each to achieve a sweep amid a map requiring a net gain of four seats for chamber control. Retirements in Michigan and North Carolina, combined with vulnerable incumbents in Georgia and Maine, have produced tight polling averages and heavy outside spending, with recent primaries clarifying nominees in several states. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over national conditions, candidate fundraising edges, and voter turnout in these battlegrounds, where small shifts in swing-state dynamics or late developments such as economic indicators or debate performances could alter implied probabilities in either direction.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
Volumen
$19,791Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The competitive balance in this market stems from the four pivotal 2026 Senate contests in Maine, North Carolina, Michigan, and Georgia, where Democrats must prevail in each to achieve a sweep amid a map requiring a net gain of four seats for chamber control. Retirements in Michigan and North Carolina, combined with vulnerable incumbents in Georgia and Maine, have produced tight polling averages and heavy outside spending, with recent primaries clarifying nominees in several states. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over national conditions, candidate fundraising edges, and voter turnout in these battlegrounds, where small shifts in swing-state dynamics or late developments such as economic indicators or debate performances could alter implied probabilities in either direction.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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