Recent polling and analyst ratings show the four contests—in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine—as closely contested battlegrounds three months before the November 2026 elections, with Democratic candidates holding narrow or fluctuating edges in most. Primary results and candidate selection in Michigan’s open seat, along with North Carolina dynamics featuring Roy Cooper, have kept probabilities balanced rather than locked in for a Democratic sweep. The broader Senate map’s structural features, including the number of seats Democrats must defend or flip overall, reinforce trader views that simultaneous wins across all four remain uncertain despite localized advantages.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Ganarán los demócratas las "cuatro principales" contiendas por el Senado?
¿Ganarán los demócratas las "cuatro principales" contiendas por el Senado?
Sí
45% probabilidad
$18,549 Vol.
$18,549 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Sí
45% probabilidad
$18,549 Vol.
$18,549 Vol.
3 nov 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.Recent polling and analyst ratings show the four contests—in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine—as closely contested battlegrounds three months before the November 2026 elections, with Democratic candidates holding narrow or fluctuating edges in most. Primary results and candidate selection in Michigan’s open seat, along with North Carolina dynamics featuring Roy Cooper, have kept probabilities balanced rather than locked in for a Democratic sweep. The broader Senate map’s structural features, including the number of seats Democrats must defend or flip overall, reinforce trader views that simultaneous wins across all four remain uncertain despite localized advantages.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
Mercado abierto: Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Volumen
$18,549Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.Recent polling and analyst ratings show the four contests—in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine—as closely contested battlegrounds three months before the November 2026 elections, with Democratic candidates holding narrow or fluctuating edges in most. Primary results and candidate selection in Michigan’s open seat, along with North Carolina dynamics featuring Roy Cooper, have kept probabilities balanced rather than locked in for a Democratic sweep. The broader Senate map’s structural features, including the number of seats Democrats must defend or flip overall, reinforce trader views that simultaneous wins across all four remain uncertain despite localized advantages.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
Volumen
$18,549Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polling and analyst ratings show the four contests—in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine—as closely contested battlegrounds three months before the November 2026 elections, with Democratic candidates holding narrow or fluctuating edges in most. Primary results and candidate selection in Michigan’s open seat, along with North Carolina dynamics featuring Roy Cooper, have kept probabilities balanced rather than locked in for a Democratic sweep. The broader Senate map’s structural features, including the number of seats Democrats must defend or flip overall, reinforce trader views that simultaneous wins across all four remain uncertain despite localized advantages.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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