Incumbent Democrat Jon Ossoff holds a commanding trader consensus at 83.5% implied probability to win Georgia's Class 2 Senate seat in November, driven by his unopposed primary status, massive fundraising edge, and consistent leads in recent polling averages like RCP's +3.5 over top GOP contender Buddy Carter. The fragmented Republican primary on May 19—featuring Derek Dooley, Carter, Mike Collins, and others—shows no frontrunner per Quantus Insights' May 7 survey, likely forcing a June 16 runoff that could weaken the nominee through infighting and resource drain. This dynamic, amid Georgia's history of punishing divided GOP fields in recent cycles, bolsters Ossoff's path despite the state's battleground status and Toss Up/Lean D Cook rating.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$25,593 Vol.
$25,593 Vol.

Demócrata
84%

Republicano
17%
$25,593 Vol.
$25,593 Vol.

Demócrata
84%

Republicano
17%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jon Ossoff holds a commanding trader consensus at 83.5% implied probability to win Georgia's Class 2 Senate seat in November, driven by his unopposed primary status, massive fundraising edge, and consistent leads in recent polling averages like RCP's +3.5 over top GOP contender Buddy Carter. The fragmented Republican primary on May 19—featuring Derek Dooley, Carter, Mike Collins, and others—shows no frontrunner per Quantus Insights' May 7 survey, likely forcing a June 16 runoff that could weaken the nominee through infighting and resource drain. This dynamic, amid Georgia's history of punishing divided GOP fields in recent cycles, bolsters Ossoff's path despite the state's battleground status and Toss Up/Lean D Cook rating.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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