Claire Valdez secured the Democratic nomination for New York's 7th Congressional District in the June 23, 2026 primary, defeating Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso by roughly 23-25 points with about 58% of the vote to his 33%. Strong organizational backing from prominent figures including Zohran Mamdani, combined with solid fundraising and turnout advantages in key Queens and Brooklyn precincts, produced the decisive margin reflected in the trader consensus for a 15%+ victory. Official results and projections from the Associated Press and other outlets have shown no material shifts since election night. A realistic challenge to this outcome would require successful legal contests or widespread irregularities in vote tabulation, though the size of the gap makes such adjustments improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNY-07 Margen de victoria de las primarias demócratas
NY-07 Margen de victoria de las primarias demócratas
Valdez 15%+ 98.7%
Valdez 10–15% 1.4%
Valdez 5–10% <1%
Valdez <5% <1%
$40,291 Vol.
$40,291 Vol.
23 jun 2026
Valdez 15%+
99%
Valdez 10–15%
1%
Valdez 5–10%
<1%
Valdez <5%
<1%
Valdez 15%+ 98.7%
Valdez 10–15% 1.4%
Valdez 5–10% <1%
Valdez <5% <1%
$40,291 Vol.
$40,291 Vol.
23 jun 2026
Valdez 15%+
$6,998 Vol.
99%
Valdez 10–15%
$7,800 Vol.
1%
Valdez 5–10%
$5,715 Vol.
<1%
Valdez <5%
$6,184 Vol.
<1%
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-07 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Claire Valdez secured the Democratic nomination for New York's 7th Congressional District in the June 23, 2026 primary, defeating Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso by roughly 23-25 points with about 58% of the vote to his 33%. Strong organizational backing from prominent figures including Zohran Mamdani, combined with solid fundraising and turnout advantages in key Queens and Brooklyn precincts, produced the decisive margin reflected in the trader consensus for a 15%+ victory. Official results and projections from the Associated Press and other outlets have shown no material shifts since election night. A realistic challenge to this outcome would require successful legal contests or widespread irregularities in vote tabulation, though the size of the gap makes such adjustments improbable.
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-07 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-07 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Mercado abierto: Jun 18, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
Volumen
$40,291Fecha de finalización
23 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 18, 2026, 10:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-07 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Claire Valdez secured the Democratic nomination for New York's 7th Congressional District in the June 23, 2026 primary, defeating Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso by roughly 23-25 points with about 58% of the vote to his 33%. Strong organizational backing from prominent figures including Zohran Mamdani, combined with solid fundraising and turnout advantages in key Queens and Brooklyn precincts, produced the decisive margin reflected in the trader consensus for a 15%+ victory. Official results and projections from the Associated Press and other outlets have shown no material shifts since election night. A realistic challenge to this outcome would require successful legal contests or widespread irregularities in vote tabulation, though the size of the gap makes such adjustments improbable.
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-07 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-07 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volumen
$40,291Fecha de finalización
23 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 18, 2026, 10:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Claire Valdez secured the Democratic nomination for New York's 7th Congressional District in the June 23, 2026 primary, defeating Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso by roughly 23-25 points with about 58% of the vote to his 33%. Strong organizational backing from prominent figures including Zohran Mamdani, combined with solid fundraising and turnout advantages in key Queens and Brooklyn precincts, produced the decisive margin reflected in the trader consensus for a 15%+ victory. Official results and projections from the Associated Press and other outlets have shown no material shifts since election night. A realistic challenge to this outcome would require successful legal contests or widespread irregularities in vote tabulation, though the size of the gap makes such adjustments improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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