**The leading market outcomes for Khamenei's X posts in the August 18–25, 2026 window reflect trader consensus around low activity levels, with <5 posts at 48.5% and 5–9 at 26.5%.** Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s official account (@khamenei_ir) continues to operate after his death earlier in 2026, primarily reposting archival statements and historical quotes rather than issuing new content. Recent examples from early August show sporadic posts—roughly a handful per week—focused on themes like Arbaeen or past events, without evidence of daily or high-volume output. The transition to Mojtaba Khamenei as supreme leader, combined with the account’s shift to legacy material, has reduced the frequency of original statements. No major diplomatic, military, or domestic developments in the immediate period appear positioned to trigger a surge in posts. Traders appear to price in this established pattern of measured, non-crisis-driven activity for the coming week, consistent with historical posting rates on the account.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Khamenei # publica del 18 al 25 de agosto de 2026?
¿Khamenei # publica del 18 al 25 de agosto de 2026?
<5 49%
5-9 27%
10-14 15%
15-19 8.3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
25 ago 2026
<5
49%
5-9
27%
10-14
15%
15-19
8%
20-24
8%
25-29
8%
30-34
8%
35-39
8%
40-44
1%
45-49
1%
50-54
1%
55-59
1%
60+
1%
<5 49%
5-9 27%
10-14 15%
15-19 8.3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
25 ago 2026
<5
$955 Vol.
49%
5-9
$235 Vol.
27%
10-14
$10 Vol.
15%
15-19
$5 Vol.
8%
20-24
$5 Vol.
8%
25-29
$5 Vol.
8%
30-34
$5 Vol.
8%
35-39
$5 Vol.
8%
40-44
$10 Vol.
1%
45-49
$10 Vol.
1%
50-54
$5 Vol.
1%
55-59
$5 Vol.
1%
60+
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**The leading market outcomes for Khamenei's X posts in the August 18–25, 2026 window reflect trader consensus around low activity levels, with <5 posts at 48.5% and 5–9 at 26.5%.**
Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s official account (@khamenei_ir) continues to operate after his death earlier in 2026, primarily reposting archival statements and historical quotes rather than issuing new content. Recent examples from early August show sporadic posts—roughly a handful per week—focused on themes like Arbaeen or past events, without evidence of daily or high-volume output. The transition to Mojtaba Khamenei as supreme leader, combined with the account’s shift to legacy material, has reduced the frequency of original statements. No major diplomatic, military, or domestic developments in the immediate period appear positioned to trigger a surge in posts. Traders appear to price in this established pattern of measured, non-crisis-driven activity for the coming week, consistent with historical posting rates on the account.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volumen
$1,260Fecha de finalización
25 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**The leading market outcomes for Khamenei's X posts in the August 18–25, 2026 window reflect trader consensus around low activity levels, with <5 posts at 48.5% and 5–9 at 26.5%.**
Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s official account (@khamenei_ir) continues to operate after his death earlier in 2026, primarily reposting archival statements and historical quotes rather than issuing new content. Recent examples from early August show sporadic posts—roughly a handful per week—focused on themes like Arbaeen or past events, without evidence of daily or high-volume output. The transition to Mojtaba Khamenei as supreme leader, combined with the account’s shift to legacy material, has reduced the frequency of original statements. No major diplomatic, military, or domestic developments in the immediate period appear positioned to trigger a surge in posts. Traders appear to price in this established pattern of measured, non-crisis-driven activity for the coming week, consistent with historical posting rates on the account.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$1,260Fecha de finalización
25 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...**The leading market outcomes for Khamenei's X posts in the August 18–25, 2026 window reflect trader consensus around low activity levels, with <5 posts at 48.5% and 5–9 at 26.5%.** Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s official account (@khamenei_ir) continues to operate after his death earlier in 2026, primarily reposting archival statements and historical quotes rather than issuing new content. Recent examples from early August show sporadic posts—roughly a handful per week—focused on themes like Arbaeen or past events, without evidence of daily or high-volume output. The transition to Mojtaba Khamenei as supreme leader, combined with the account’s shift to legacy material, has reduced the frequency of original statements. No major diplomatic, military, or domestic developments in the immediate period appear positioned to trigger a surge in posts. Traders appear to price in this established pattern of measured, non-crisis-driven activity for the coming week, consistent with historical posting rates on the account.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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