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icon for ¿El alcalde de Nueva York # publica del 18 al 25 de agosto de 2026?

¿El alcalde de Nueva York # publica del 18 al 25 de agosto de 2026?

icon for ¿El alcalde de Nueva York # publica del 18 al 25 de agosto de 2026?

¿El alcalde de Nueva York # publica del 18 al 25 de agosto de 2026?

20-39 72%

40-59 25%

60-79 2.0%

<20 <1%

Polymarket

$14,014 Vol.

20-39 72%

40-59 25%

60-79 2.0%

<20 <1%

Polymarket

$14,014 Vol.

<20

$1,713 Vol.

1%

20-39

$5,482 Vol.

72%

40-59

$1,981 Vol.

25%

60-79

$2,035 Vol.

2%

80-99

$658 Vol.

<1%

100-119

$433 Vol.

<1%

120-139

$321 Vol.

<1%

140-159

$316 Vol.

<1%

160-179

$379 Vol.

<1%

180-199

$379 Vol.

<1%

200+

$317 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Zohran Mamdani**, who took office as NYC mayor on January 1, 2026, maintains a steady posting cadence on the official @NYCMayor X account. The immediately preceding weekly market (August 11–18) resolved in the 20–39 range, establishing a recent baseline that aligns closely with current trader pricing at 72.5% for the August 18–25 window. No major policy announcements, crises, or campaign-style mobilization have occurred in the past week that would drive elevated volume, keeping probabilities for 40–59 posts at a secondary 24.5%. Historical patterns under the current administration show consistent mid-range weekly output rather than spikes or lulls, supporting the market’s emphasis on continuity over outlier scenarios.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$14,014
Fecha de finalización
25 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://x.com/NYCMayor
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Zohran Mamdani**, who took office as NYC mayor on January 1, 2026, maintains a steady posting cadence on the official @NYCMayor X account. The immediately preceding weekly market (August 11–18) resolved in the 20–39 range, establishing a recent baseline that aligns closely with current trader pricing at 72.5% for the August 18–25 window. No major policy announcements, crises, or campaign-style mobilization have occurred in the past week that would drive elevated volume, keeping probabilities for 40–59 posts at a secondary 24.5%. Historical patterns under the current administration show consistent mid-range weekly output rather than spikes or lulls, supporting the market’s emphasis on continuity over outlier scenarios.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$14,014
Fecha de finalización
25 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://x.com/NYCMayor
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿El alcalde de Nueva York # publica del 18 al 25 de agosto de 2026?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "20-39" con 72%, seguido de "40-59" con 25%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 72¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 72% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿El alcalde de Nueva York # publica del 18 al 25 de agosto de 2026?" ha generado $14K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Aug 15, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿El alcalde de Nueva York # publica del 18 al 25 de agosto de 2026?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿El alcalde de Nueva York # publica del 18 al 25 de agosto de 2026?" es "20-39" con 72%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 72% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "40-59" con 25%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿El alcalde de Nueva York # publica del 18 al 25 de agosto de 2026?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.