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icon for ¿Khamenei # publica del 21 al 28 de agosto de 2026?

¿Khamenei # publica del 21 al 28 de agosto de 2026?

icon for ¿Khamenei # publica del 21 al 28 de agosto de 2026?

¿Khamenei # publica del 21 al 28 de agosto de 2026?

<5 73%

5-9 20%

10-14 8%

15-19 1.7%

Polymarket
NUEVO

<5 73%

5-9 20%

10-14 8%

15-19 1.7%

Polymarket
NUEVO

<5

$833 Vol.

73%

5-9

$306 Vol.

20%

10-14

$92 Vol.

8%

15-19

$15 Vol.

2%

20-24

$20 Vol.

1%

25-29

$16 Vol.

2%

30-34

$15 Vol.

1%

35-39

$9 Vol.

1%

40-44

$10 Vol.

1%

45-49

$10 Vol.

1%

50-54

$10 Vol.

1%

55-59

$10 Vol.

1%

60+

$10 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Khamenei’s official X accounts operate under post-assassination protocols following his death in joint U.S.-Israeli strikes earlier in 2026.** The @khamenei_ir account, now labeled with “martyred Leader” in its bio, and related Persian-language channels issue occasional official statements, commemorations, or policy messages rather than routine daily commentary. Trader positioning around fewer than five posts for the August 21–28 window reflects this reduced cadence, consistent with the attenuated public schedule observed in his final months and the subsequent leadership transition. Mojtaba Khamenei’s separate account has shown more frequent activity in recent months, but markets treat the primary official channels as operating under institutional restraint. No major scheduled events, religious observances, or diplomatic announcements fall within the resolution period that would typically trigger higher output. Current probabilities align with historical patterns of low-volume posting by the office since February 2026, with only modest upside priced for unexpected developments.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$1,352
Fecha de finalización
28 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://x.com/khamenei_ir
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Khamenei’s official X accounts operate under post-assassination protocols following his death in joint U.S.-Israeli strikes earlier in 2026.** The @khamenei_ir account, now labeled with “martyred Leader” in its bio, and related Persian-language channels issue occasional official statements, commemorations, or policy messages rather than routine daily commentary. Trader positioning around fewer than five posts for the August 21–28 window reflects this reduced cadence, consistent with the attenuated public schedule observed in his final months and the subsequent leadership transition. Mojtaba Khamenei’s separate account has shown more frequent activity in recent months, but markets treat the primary official channels as operating under institutional restraint. No major scheduled events, religious observances, or diplomatic announcements fall within the resolution period that would typically trigger higher output. Current probabilities align with historical patterns of low-volume posting by the office since February 2026, with only modest upside priced for unexpected developments.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$1,352
Fecha de finalización
28 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://x.com/khamenei_ir
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Khamenei # publica del 21 al 28 de agosto de 2026?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 13 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "<5" con 73%, seguido de "5-9" con 20%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 73¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 73% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Khamenei # publica del 21 al 28 de agosto de 2026?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 18, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Khamenei # publica del 21 al 28 de agosto de 2026?", explora los 13 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Khamenei # publica del 21 al 28 de agosto de 2026?" es "<5" con 73%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 73% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "5-9" con 20%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Khamenei # publica del 21 al 28 de agosto de 2026?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.