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icon for ¿La gasolina estará por debajo de $ 3.75 en cualquier estado en...?
Economía·Precios

¿La gasolina estará por debajo de $ 3.75 en cualquier estado en...?

icon for ¿La gasolina estará por debajo de $ 3.75 en cualquier estado en...?
Economía·Precios

¿La gasolina estará por debajo de $ 3.75 en cualquier estado en...?

NUEVO
20 sep 2026
Polymarket

$316 Vol.

Polymarket

20 de septiembre

$108 Vol.

48%

30 de septiembre

$0 Vol.

50%

31 de octubre

$208 Vol.

17%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the average regular gas price for any US state is below $3.75 per gallon using unrounded figures. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source. This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.Recent geopolitical disruptions, including tensions around the Strait of Hormuz and refinery constraints tied to conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine, have pushed Brent crude above $100 per barrel and driven the U.S. national average regular gasoline price to $4.44 per gallon as of September 17, 2026, up sharply from year-ago levels near $3.20. Regional spreads remain wide, with the lowest state averages (Indiana near $3.92 and Texas near $3.93) still well above the $3.75 threshold amid elevated refining margins and summer-blend requirements. Trader sentiment on state-level gas prices reflects these supply-side pressures and limited near-term relief from seasonal winter-blend transitions, while monitoring upcoming EIA inventory data and any shifts in global oil flows that could alter the current elevated price trajectory.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the average regular gas price for any US state is below $3.75 per gallon using unrounded figures. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source.

This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the average regular gas price for any US state is below $3.75 per gallon using unrounded figures. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source. This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.
Volumen
$316
Fecha de finalización
1 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Sep 17, 2026, 1:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the average regular gas price for any US state is below $3.75 per gallon using unrounded figures. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source. This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.Recent geopolitical disruptions, including tensions around the Strait of Hormuz and refinery constraints tied to conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine, have pushed Brent crude above $100 per barrel and driven the U.S. national average regular gasoline price to $4.44 per gallon as of September 17, 2026, up sharply from year-ago levels near $3.20. Regional spreads remain wide, with the lowest state averages (Indiana near $3.92 and Texas near $3.93) still well above the $3.75 threshold amid elevated refining margins and summer-blend requirements. Trader sentiment on state-level gas prices reflects these supply-side pressures and limited near-term relief from seasonal winter-blend transitions, while monitoring upcoming EIA inventory data and any shifts in global oil flows that could alter the current elevated price trajectory.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the average regular gas price for any US state is below $3.75 per gallon using unrounded figures. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source.

This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the average regular gas price for any US state is below $3.75 per gallon using unrounded figures. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source. This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.
Volumen
$316
Fecha de finalización
1 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Sep 17, 2026, 1:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿La gasolina estará por debajo de $ 3.75 en cualquier estado en...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "30 de septiembre" con 50%, seguido de "20 de septiembre" con 48%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 50¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 50% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿La gasolina estará por debajo de $ 3.75 en cualquier estado en...?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Sep 17, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿La gasolina estará por debajo de $ 3.75 en cualquier estado en...?", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿La gasolina estará por debajo de $ 3.75 en cualquier estado en...?" es "30 de septiembre" con 50%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 50% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "20 de septiembre" con 48%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿La gasolina estará por debajo de $ 3.75 en cualquier estado en...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.