Elevated crude oil prices near $80–83 per barrel, driven by persistent geopolitical tensions in the Strait of Hormuz and related supply disruptions, continue to anchor the U.S. national average for regular gasoline around $4.08–$4.10 per gallon as of late August 2026. Tight inventories, down notably from five-year averages, and strong seasonal demand ahead of Labor Day provide near-term support, while the shift to lower-cost winter-blend fuel beginning mid-September and scheduled refinery maintenance introduce downward pressure on prices through month-end. Trader sentiment on Polymarket reflects these crosscurrents, with odds on higher thresholds incorporating the risk of renewed Middle East volatility versus the historical tendency for post-summer declines.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNUEVO
30 sep 2026
↑ $4.50
42%
↑ $4.40
48%
↑ $4.30
44%
↑ $4.20
55%
↓ $4.00
55%
↓ $3.90
47%
↓ $3.70
38%
↓ $3.50
33%
$0.00 Vol.
↑ $4.50
$0 Vol.
42%
↑ $4.40
$0 Vol.
48%
↑ $4.30
$0 Vol.
44%
↑ $4.20
$0 Vol.
55%
↓ $4.00
$0 Vol.
55%
↓ $3.90
$0 Vol.
47%
↓ $3.70
$0 Vol.
38%
↓ $3.50
$0 Vol.
33%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Elevated crude oil prices near $80–83 per barrel, driven by persistent geopolitical tensions in the Strait of Hormuz and related supply disruptions, continue to anchor the U.S. national average for regular gasoline around $4.08–$4.10 per gallon as of late August 2026. Tight inventories, down notably from five-year averages, and strong seasonal demand ahead of Labor Day provide near-term support, while the shift to lower-cost winter-blend fuel beginning mid-September and scheduled refinery maintenance introduce downward pressure on prices through month-end. Trader sentiment on Polymarket reflects these crosscurrents, with odds on higher thresholds incorporating the risk of renewed Middle East volatility versus the historical tendency for post-summer declines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Mercado abierto: Aug 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
30 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://gasprices.aaa.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Elevated crude oil prices near $80–83 per barrel, driven by persistent geopolitical tensions in the Strait of Hormuz and related supply disruptions, continue to anchor the U.S. national average for regular gasoline around $4.08–$4.10 per gallon as of late August 2026. Tight inventories, down notably from five-year averages, and strong seasonal demand ahead of Labor Day provide near-term support, while the shift to lower-cost winter-blend fuel beginning mid-September and scheduled refinery maintenance introduce downward pressure on prices through month-end. Trader sentiment on Polymarket reflects these crosscurrents, with odds on higher thresholds incorporating the risk of renewed Middle East volatility versus the historical tendency for post-summer declines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
30 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://gasprices.aaa.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Elevated crude oil prices near $80–83 per barrel, driven by persistent geopolitical tensions in the Strait of Hormuz and related supply disruptions, continue to anchor the U.S. national average for regular gasoline around $4.08–$4.10 per gallon as of late August 2026. Tight inventories, down notably from five-year averages, and strong seasonal demand ahead of Labor Day provide near-term support, while the shift to lower-cost winter-blend fuel beginning mid-September and scheduled refinery maintenance introduce downward pressure on prices through month-end. Trader sentiment on Polymarket reflects these crosscurrents, with odds on higher thresholds incorporating the risk of renewed Middle East volatility versus the historical tendency for post-summer declines.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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