Recent polling and prediction markets show Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, and Jon Ossoff frequently leading or near the top of the 2028 Democratic field alongside Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, while Kamala Harris remains a factor but faces headwinds. Trader sentiment favoring a male nominee stems primarily from post-2024 electability discussions among party strategists, who cite two consecutive losses with female standard-bearers and question swing-state appeal. Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer’s decision not to run has further narrowed visible female options, leaving a fragmented primary without a dominant woman frontrunner more than two years out. Upcoming debates, endorsements, and state-level results could still shift the composition of declared candidates before Iowa.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
30% probabilidad
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 nov 2028
Sí
30% probabilidad
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 nov 2028
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Recent polling and prediction markets show Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, and Jon Ossoff frequently leading or near the top of the 2028 Democratic field alongside Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, while Kamala Harris remains a factor but faces headwinds. Trader sentiment favoring a male nominee stems primarily from post-2024 electability discussions among party strategists, who cite two consecutive losses with female standard-bearers and question swing-state appeal. Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer’s decision not to run has further narrowed visible female options, leaving a fragmented primary without a dominant woman frontrunner more than two years out. Upcoming debates, endorsements, and state-level results could still shift the composition of declared candidates before Iowa.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado abierto: Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
Volumen
$4,547Fecha de finalización
8 nov 2028Mercado abierto
Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Recent polling and prediction markets show Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, and Jon Ossoff frequently leading or near the top of the 2028 Democratic field alongside Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, while Kamala Harris remains a factor but faces headwinds. Trader sentiment favoring a male nominee stems primarily from post-2024 electability discussions among party strategists, who cite two consecutive losses with female standard-bearers and question swing-state appeal. Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer’s decision not to run has further narrowed visible female options, leaving a fragmented primary without a dominant woman frontrunner more than two years out. Upcoming debates, endorsements, and state-level results could still shift the composition of declared candidates before Iowa.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$4,547Fecha de finalización
8 nov 2028Mercado abierto
Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polling and prediction markets show Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, and Jon Ossoff frequently leading or near the top of the 2028 Democratic field alongside Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, while Kamala Harris remains a factor but faces headwinds. Trader sentiment favoring a male nominee stems primarily from post-2024 electability discussions among party strategists, who cite two consecutive losses with female standard-bearers and question swing-state appeal. Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer’s decision not to run has further narrowed visible female options, leaving a fragmented primary without a dominant woman frontrunner more than two years out. Upcoming debates, endorsements, and state-level results could still shift the composition of declared candidates before Iowa.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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