Skip to main content
icon for Will the US House pass the Sunshine Protection Act by July 17?

Will the US House pass the Sunshine Protection Act by July 17?

icon for Will the US House pass the Sunshine Protection Act by July 17?

Will the US House pass the Sunshine Protection Act by July 17?

66% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
66% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes the Sunshine Protection Act or other legally binding legislation that would end the twice-annual clock-switching in the United States by July 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying bill does not need to pass as a standalone bill or be titled exactly as above, but it must contain legally operative provisions that, if enacted, would end the twice-annual clock-switching in the United States. Non-binding resolutions, including simple or concurrent resolutions that merely express the sense of the House, recommend that states change their timekeeping policies, or otherwise call for an end to clock-switching without legally implementing such a change, will not qualify. The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., https://www.congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The House Energy and Commerce Committee advanced the Sunshine Protection Act (H.R. 139) in May 2026 with a 48-1 vote as part of the Motor Vehicle Modernization Act, and floor consideration is scheduled for the week of July 13. Trader consensus favoring non-passage by July 17 reflects the bill’s repeated failure to clear the full House despite prior Senate action, including the 2022 unanimous Senate passage that stalled amid objections. Key barriers include opposition from figures such as Sen. Tom Cotton over winter sunrise timing and school safety, limited floor time in a compressed legislative calendar, and the measure’s attachment to unrelated legislation that could invite amendments or procedural delays. The version under consideration would permit state opt-outs, yet these factors sustain skepticism about timely House approval before the deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes the Sunshine Protection Act or other legally binding legislation that would end the twice-annual clock-switching in the United States by July 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying bill does not need to pass as a standalone bill or be titled exactly as above, but it must contain legally operative provisions that, if enacted, would end the twice-annual clock-switching in the United States.

Non-binding resolutions, including simple or concurrent resolutions that merely express the sense of the House, recommend that states change their timekeeping policies, or otherwise call for an end to clock-switching without legally implementing such a change, will not qualify.

The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., https://www.congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$128
Fecha de finalización
17 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 11, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes the Sunshine Protection Act or other legally binding legislation that would end the twice-annual clock-switching in the United States by July 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying bill does not need to pass as a standalone bill or be titled exactly as above, but it must contain legally operative provisions that, if enacted, would end the twice-annual clock-switching in the United States. Non-binding resolutions, including simple or concurrent resolutions that merely express the sense of the House, recommend that states change their timekeeping policies, or otherwise call for an end to clock-switching without legally implementing such a change, will not qualify. The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., https://www.congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes the Sunshine Protection Act or other legally binding legislation that would end the twice-annual clock-switching in the United States by July 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying bill does not need to pass as a standalone bill or be titled exactly as above, but it must contain legally operative provisions that, if enacted, would end the twice-annual clock-switching in the United States. Non-binding resolutions, including simple or concurrent resolutions that merely express the sense of the House, recommend that states change their timekeeping policies, or otherwise call for an end to clock-switching without legally implementing such a change, will not qualify. The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., https://www.congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The House Energy and Commerce Committee advanced the Sunshine Protection Act (H.R. 139) in May 2026 with a 48-1 vote as part of the Motor Vehicle Modernization Act, and floor consideration is scheduled for the week of July 13. Trader consensus favoring non-passage by July 17 reflects the bill’s repeated failure to clear the full House despite prior Senate action, including the 2022 unanimous Senate passage that stalled amid objections. Key barriers include opposition from figures such as Sen. Tom Cotton over winter sunrise timing and school safety, limited floor time in a compressed legislative calendar, and the measure’s attachment to unrelated legislation that could invite amendments or procedural delays. The version under consideration would permit state opt-outs, yet these factors sustain skepticism about timely House approval before the deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes the Sunshine Protection Act or other legally binding legislation that would end the twice-annual clock-switching in the United States by July 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying bill does not need to pass as a standalone bill or be titled exactly as above, but it must contain legally operative provisions that, if enacted, would end the twice-annual clock-switching in the United States.

Non-binding resolutions, including simple or concurrent resolutions that merely express the sense of the House, recommend that states change their timekeeping policies, or otherwise call for an end to clock-switching without legally implementing such a change, will not qualify.

The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., https://www.congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$128
Fecha de finalización
17 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 11, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes the Sunshine Protection Act or other legally binding legislation that would end the twice-annual clock-switching in the United States by July 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying bill does not need to pass as a standalone bill or be titled exactly as above, but it must contain legally operative provisions that, if enacted, would end the twice-annual clock-switching in the United States. Non-binding resolutions, including simple or concurrent resolutions that merely express the sense of the House, recommend that states change their timekeeping policies, or otherwise call for an end to clock-switching without legally implementing such a change, will not qualify. The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., https://www.congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Will the US House pass the Sunshine Protection Act by July 17?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 69% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 69¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 69% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Will the US House pass the Sunshine Protection Act by July 17?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jul 11, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Will the US House pass the Sunshine Protection Act by July 17?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "Will the US House pass the Sunshine Protection Act by July 17?" es 69% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 69% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "Will the US House pass the Sunshine Protection Act by July 17?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.