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World Cup: Golden Ball Winner

icon for World Cup: Golden Ball Winner

World Cup: Golden Ball Winner

Kylian Mbappé 39%

Lionel Messi 30%

Michael Olise 12.3%

Harry Kane 5.8%

Polymarket

$1,537,944 Vol.

Kylian Mbappé 39%

Lionel Messi 30%

Michael Olise 12.3%

Harry Kane 5.8%

Polymarket

$1,537,944 Vol.

Kylian Mbappé

$89,262 Vol.

39%

Lionel Messi

$143,413 Vol.

30%

Michael Olise

$51,473 Vol.

12%

Harry Kane

$46,624 Vol.

6%

Lamine Yamal

$29,392 Vol.

5%

Ousmane Dembélé

$27,460 Vol.

3%

Cristiano Ronaldo

$113,600 Vol.

3%

Vinícius Jr.

$60,753 Vol.

3%

Erling Haaland

$22,985 Vol.

3%

Jude Bellingham

$11,169 Vol.

2%

Pedri

$7,056 Vol.

1%

Bruno Fernandes

$95,291 Vol.

1%

Vitinha

$15,327 Vol.

<1%

Declan Rice

$797,611 Vol.

<1%

Florian Wirtz

$19,955 Vol.

<1%

Rodri

$4,763 Vol.

<1%

Rayan Cherki

$7,538 Vol.

<1%

Neymar

$12,100 Vol.

<1%

Gavi

$3,167 Vol.

<1%

Bukayo Saka

$6,276 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 World Cup Golden Ball market remains tightly contested in its early stages, with Mbappé, Messi, Kane, Olise, and Yamal leading as the top contenders per current trader pricing. Pre-tournament expectations centered on established stars like Mbappé and Messi leveraging club form and national team pedigree, while emerging talents such as Yamal benefited from strong recent international showings. The opening matchdays have introduced further parity through variable minutes, squad depth across 48 teams, and the absence of any dominant individual performances yet. Factors like attacking roles, team advancement paths, and head-to-head matchups continue to shape implied probabilities, keeping the field wide open until deeper knockout rounds clarify standout contributions.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,537,944
Fecha de finalización
20 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 3, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 World Cup Golden Ball market remains tightly contested in its early stages, with Mbappé, Messi, Kane, Olise, and Yamal leading as the top contenders per current trader pricing. Pre-tournament expectations centered on established stars like Mbappé and Messi leveraging club form and national team pedigree, while emerging talents such as Yamal benefited from strong recent international showings. The opening matchdays have introduced further parity through variable minutes, squad depth across 48 teams, and the absence of any dominant individual performances yet. Factors like attacking roles, team advancement paths, and head-to-head matchups continue to shape implied probabilities, keeping the field wide open until deeper knockout rounds clarify standout contributions.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,537,944
Fecha de finalización
20 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 3, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"World Cup: Golden Ball Winner" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 20 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Kylian Mbappé" con 39%, seguido de "Lionel Messi" con 30%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 39¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 39% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "World Cup: Golden Ball Winner" ha generado $1.5 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jun 3, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "World Cup: Golden Ball Winner", explora los 20 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "World Cup: Golden Ball Winner" es "Kylian Mbappé" con 39%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 39% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Lionel Messi" con 30%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "World Cup: Golden Ball Winner" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.