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Copa del Mundo: la nación llegará a la final

icon for Copa del Mundo: la nación llegará a la final

Copa del Mundo: la nación llegará a la final

$699,684 Vol.

20 jul 2026
Polymarket

$699,684 Vol.

Polymarket

Spain

$37,132 Vol.

29%

France

$34,139 Vol.

26%

England

$32,847 Vol.

25%

Portugal

$52,245 Vol.

23%

Argentina

$20,829 Vol.

22%

Brazil

$32,665 Vol.

17%

Germany

$7,864 Vol.

14%

Netherlands

$29,332 Vol.

13%

Belgium

$16,603 Vol.

7%

Colombia

$18,574 Vol.

7%

USA

$31,444 Vol.

7%

Mexico

$130,352 Vol.

6%

Morocco

$36,721 Vol.

6%

Norway

$51,231 Vol.

6%

Japan

$18,829 Vol.

5%

Uruguay

$9,141 Vol.

4%

Croatia

$8,462 Vol.

4%

Switzerland

$19,644 Vol.

3%

New Zealand

$514 Vol.

3%

Ecuador

$12,976 Vol.

3%

Senegal

$10,785 Vol.

2%

Czechia

$4,095 Vol.

2%

South Africa

$208 Vol.

2%

Ivory Coast

$5,907 Vol.

2%

Austria

$3,712 Vol.

2%

Canada

$2,775 Vol.

2%

Sweden

$2,968 Vol.

2%

South Korea

$3,486 Vol.

2%

Scotland

$3,483 Vol.

2%

Ghana

$161 Vol.

2%

Algeria

$198 Vol.

2%

Bosnia and Herzegovina

$597 Vol.

2%

Qatar

$310 Vol.

1%

Paraguay

$698 Vol.

1%

Saudi Arabia

$1,715 Vol.

1%

Australia

$93 Vol.

1%

Tunisia

$249 Vol.

1%

Turkiye

$48,945 Vol.

1%

Egypt

$1,437 Vol.

1%

DR Congo

$216 Vol.

1%

Iran

$1,053 Vol.

1%

Uzbekistan

$2,649 Vol.

1%

Cape Verde

$4,292 Vol.

1%

Jordan

$483 Vol.

1%

Curacao

$1,049 Vol.

<1%

Panama

$648 Vol.

<1%

Iraq

$196 Vol.

<1%

Haiti

$365 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain and France top trader consensus for reaching the 2026 World Cup final, reflecting their squad depth, recent major tournament success including Spain’s Euro 2024 title, and favorable group positioning in the expanded 48-team field. Argentina, seeking consecutive crowns behind Lionel Messi, England, Portugal, and Brazil follow closely based on attacking firepower and historical knockout pedigree. Early group-stage results have produced modest shifts, with Brazil’s 1-1 draw against Morocco slightly lengthening its implied probability while Germany’s 7-1 rout and the United States’ 4-1 win over Paraguay reinforced continental frontrunners. The bracket’s dual pathways minimize early collisions among elite sides until the semifinals, making consistent group-stage form and injury management key variables ahead of the knockout rounds.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$699,684
Fecha de finalización
20 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 10:34 AM ET
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain and France top trader consensus for reaching the 2026 World Cup final, reflecting their squad depth, recent major tournament success including Spain’s Euro 2024 title, and favorable group positioning in the expanded 48-team field. Argentina, seeking consecutive crowns behind Lionel Messi, England, Portugal, and Brazil follow closely based on attacking firepower and historical knockout pedigree. Early group-stage results have produced modest shifts, with Brazil’s 1-1 draw against Morocco slightly lengthening its implied probability while Germany’s 7-1 rout and the United States’ 4-1 win over Paraguay reinforced continental frontrunners. The bracket’s dual pathways minimize early collisions among elite sides until the semifinals, making consistent group-stage form and injury management key variables ahead of the knockout rounds.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$699,684
Fecha de finalización
20 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 10:34 AM ET
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Copa del Mundo: la nación llegará a la final" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 48+ resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Spain" con 28%, seguido de "France" con 26%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 28¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 28% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Copa del Mundo: la nación llegará a la final" ha generado $699.7K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Apr 27, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Copa del Mundo: la nación llegará a la final", explora los 48+ resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Copa del Mundo: la nación llegará a la final" es "Spain" con 28%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 28% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "France" con 26%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Copa del Mundo: la nación llegará a la final" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.