Spain, France, England, Argentina, Brazil, Portugal, and Germany lead market-implied probabilities to reach the 2026 World Cup semifinals, reflecting their combined 39 prior semifinal appearances and six titles. Early group-stage results, including the United States' 4-1 win over Paraguay and Mexico's 2-0 victory over South Africa, have slightly elevated host-nation prospects while Brazil's 1-1 draw with Morocco drew scrutiny over squad form. Defending champions Argentina and Euro 2024 winners Spain enter with strong recent momentum, though expanded 48-team format and travel across North American venues introduce scheduling variables. Key upcoming factors include rest advantages, injury management for stars like Lamine Yamal and Kylian Mbappé, and knockout-round bracket positioning once group winners emerge.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$363,681 Vol.
Haiti
<1%
Panama
1%
Iran
1%
Egypt
2%
Canada
2%
Morocco
15%
Norway
14%
Colombia
15%
Curacao
1%
Japan
10%
Tunisia
2%
Qatar
<1%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
2%
Brazil
27%
Australia
3%
Paraguay
2%
Netherlands
22%
Turkiye
10%
Saudi Arabia
1%
Ecuador
6%
Ghana
2%
Belgium
15%
France
40%
Argentina
33%
Austria
7%
Jordan
1%
Croatia
8%
DR Congo
1%
Germany
21%
Algeria
5%
Portugal
32%
Mexico
12%
Switzerland
9%
Sweden
5%
Spain
45%
South Korea
6%
New Zealand
1%
Ivory Coast
5%
Iraq
2%
Uzbekistan
1%
Scotland
2%
USA
14%
Cape Verde
<1%
Senegal
4%
South Africa
1%
Uruguay
8%
Czechia
2%
England
36%
$363,681 Vol.
Haiti
<1%
Panama
1%
Iran
1%
Egypt
2%
Canada
2%
Morocco
15%
Norway
14%
Colombia
15%
Curacao
1%
Japan
10%
Tunisia
2%
Qatar
<1%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
2%
Brazil
27%
Australia
3%
Paraguay
2%
Netherlands
22%
Turkiye
10%
Saudi Arabia
1%
Ecuador
6%
Ghana
2%
Belgium
15%
France
40%
Argentina
33%
Austria
7%
Jordan
1%
Croatia
8%
DR Congo
1%
Germany
21%
Algeria
5%
Portugal
32%
Mexico
12%
Switzerland
9%
Sweden
5%
Spain
45%
South Korea
6%
New Zealand
1%
Ivory Coast
5%
Iraq
2%
Uzbekistan
1%
Scotland
2%
USA
14%
Cape Verde
<1%
Senegal
4%
South Africa
1%
Uruguay
8%
Czechia
2%
England
36%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jun 2, 2026, 10:52 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Spain, France, England, Argentina, Brazil, Portugal, and Germany lead market-implied probabilities to reach the 2026 World Cup semifinals, reflecting their combined 39 prior semifinal appearances and six titles. Early group-stage results, including the United States' 4-1 win over Paraguay and Mexico's 2-0 victory over South Africa, have slightly elevated host-nation prospects while Brazil's 1-1 draw with Morocco drew scrutiny over squad form. Defending champions Argentina and Euro 2024 winners Spain enter with strong recent momentum, though expanded 48-team format and travel across North American venues introduce scheduling variables. Key upcoming factors include rest advantages, injury management for stars like Lamine Yamal and Kylian Mbappé, and knockout-round bracket positioning once group winners emerge.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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