Iran qualified for the 2026 FIFA World Cup through AFC third-round matches completed in March 2025, securing its seventh finals appearance. FIFA President Gianni Infantino repeatedly affirmed participation despite February 2026 military tensions involving the United States and Israel, which initially raised visa and security concerns. Recent resolutions include U.S. visa issuance for the squad in early June and FIFA-approved relocation of the training base from Arizona to Tijuana, Mexico. These steps, combined with confirmed group-stage fixtures in Los Angeles and Seattle, underpin the near-certain trader consensus. Remaining variables that could alter the outcome include any abrupt diplomatic reversal or federation withdrawal in the final days before the June opening matches.