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Sports·FIFA World Cup

World Cup: Golden Boot Winner

icon for World Cup: Golden Boot Winner
Sports·FIFA World Cup

World Cup: Golden Boot Winner

Lionel Messi 52.0%

Kylian Mbappe 21%

Erling Haaland 7%

Ousmane Dembele 6.5%

Polymarket

$36,208,636 Vol.

Lionel Messi 52.0%

Kylian Mbappe 21%

Erling Haaland 7%

Ousmane Dembele 6.5%

Polymarket

$36,208,636 Vol.

Lionel Messi

$1,183,779 Vol.

52%

Kylian Mbappe

$1,357,544 Vol.

21%

Erling Haaland

$910,884 Vol.

7%

Ousmane Dembele

$1,273,609 Vol.

7%

Vinicius Junior

$698,180 Vol.

5%

Harry Kane

$891,034 Vol.

5%

Mikel Oyarzabal

$982,424 Vol.

1%

Cristiano Ronaldo

$1,312,627 Vol.

1%

Deniz Undav

$679,697 Vol.

1%

Lamine Yamal

$877,686 Vol.

<1%

Jude Bellingham

$637,577 Vol.

<1%

Cody Gakpo

$1,760,387 Vol.

<1%

Kai Havertz

$624,947 Vol.

<1%

Michael Olise

$2,130,823 Vol.

<1%

Folarin Balogun

$415,538 Vol.

<1%

Raphinha

$356,226 Vol.

<1%

Noah Okafor

$326,408 Vol.

<1%

Scott McTominay

$292,882 Vol.

<1%

Rodrygo

$262,789 Vol.

<1%

Amad Diallo

$675,529 Vol.

<1%

Heung-Min Son

$324,299 Vol.

<1%

Edin Džeko

$286,543 Vol.

<1%

Igor Thiago

$1,627,557 Vol.

<1%

Serge Gnabry

$212,871 Vol.

<1%

Viktor Gyökeres

$418,036 Vol.

<1%

Ferran Torres

$538,100 Vol.

<1%

Marcus Thuram

$178,559 Vol.

<1%

Luis Diaz

$451,771 Vol.

<1%

Ivan Perišić

$260,525 Vol.

<1%

Andrej Kramarić

$247,767 Vol.

<1%

Mohamed Salah

$443,963 Vol.

<1%

Dani Olmo

$436,403 Vol.

<1%

Desire Doue

$682,793 Vol.

<1%

Bradley Barcola

$1,005,056 Vol.

<1%

Sadio Mane

$299,173 Vol.

<1%

Rafael Leao

$835,635 Vol.

<1%

Julian Alvarez

$589,403 Vol.

<1%

Bukayo Saka

$1,552,245 Vol.

<1%

Lautaro Martinez

$456,393 Vol.

<1%

Bruno Fernandes

$428,260 Vol.

<1%

Pedri

$490,005 Vol.

<1%

Luis Javier Suárez

$582,090 Vol.

<1%

Romelu Lukaku

$1,428,077 Vol.

<1%

Donyell Malen

$720,499 Vol.

<1%

Antoine Semenyo

$484,118 Vol.

<1%

Dion Beljo

$154,558 Vol.

<1%

Endrick

$693,806 Vol.

<1%

Florian Wirtz

$474,381 Vol.

<1%

Memphis Depay

$332,879 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kylian Mbappé leads the Golden Boot market at 25.5% implied probability after opening his 2026 account with goals for France in the group stage, building on his 2022 triumph and strong club output at Real Madrid. Lionel Messi sits close behind at 21.1% on the strength of Argentina’s attacking depth and his prior tournament pedigree, while Harry Kane holds 19.5% following a record 61-goal club season at Bayern Munich that reinforces his proven international finishing. Erling Haaland and emerging options like Kai Havertz trail further back, reflecting their teams’ paths and variable early returns. With the expanded 48-team format extending run-ins and several elite forwards still in contention, the tight spread among the top three underscores how group-stage results, knockout progression, and minor scoring swings can rapidly shift consensus on who claims the most goals.

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$36,208,636
Fecha de finalización
20 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 24, 2026, 1:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kylian Mbappé leads the Golden Boot market at 25.5% implied probability after opening his 2026 account with goals for France in the group stage, building on his 2022 triumph and strong club output at Real Madrid. Lionel Messi sits close behind at 21.1% on the strength of Argentina’s attacking depth and his prior tournament pedigree, while Harry Kane holds 19.5% following a record 61-goal club season at Bayern Munich that reinforces his proven international finishing. Erling Haaland and emerging options like Kai Havertz trail further back, reflecting their teams’ paths and variable early returns. With the expanded 48-team format extending run-ins and several elite forwards still in contention, the tight spread among the top three underscores how group-stage results, knockout progression, and minor scoring swings can rapidly shift consensus on who claims the most goals.

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$36,208,636
Fecha de finalización
20 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 24, 2026, 1:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"World Cup: Golden Boot Winner" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 52+ resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Lionel Messi" con 52%, seguido de "Kylian Mbappe" con 21%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 52¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 52% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "World Cup: Golden Boot Winner" ha generado $36.2 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Apr 24, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "World Cup: Golden Boot Winner", explora los 52+ resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "World Cup: Golden Boot Winner" es "Lionel Messi" con 52%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 52% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Kylian Mbappe" con 21%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "World Cup: Golden Boot Winner" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.