England, Croatia, Ghana, and Panama enter Group L with stark differences in FIFA rankings and recent form that shape expectations for the bottom spot. England and Croatia, with superior squad depth and attacking options, are widely viewed as the sides most likely to advance, leaving Ghana and Panama to battle for third or fourth. Panama edges the implied probability for last place at 51.5 percent amid questions over defensive organization and limited attacking threat against stronger opponents, while Ghana sits at 35 percent on the back of inconsistent results and a lower ranking. The tight clustering around 50 percent for the leaders reflects evenly matched concerns about each underdog’s ability to secure points in the three-match group stage.