France's status as the outright favorite to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup at around +400 underpins Group I's 22.5% implied probability, reflecting the squad's depth, Kylian Mbappé's form, and a dominant group-stage opener. Spain's unexpected draw against Cape Verde has tempered Group H's appeal despite La Roja's Euro pedigree and Lamine Yamal's influence, while England's consistency and Croatia's experience support Group L. Portugal and Argentina anchor their respective groups amid solid pre-tournament positioning. "Other" leads at 50% as traders price in broader paths to the title through unlisted or lower-seeded groups, with early results and roster health continuing to shape consensus ahead of knockout stages.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGroup I (Senegal, Norway, France, Iraq) 24%
Group J (Algeria, Jordan, Argentina, Austria) 22%
Group H (Cape Verde, Uruguay, Spain, Saudi Arabia) 13%
Group L (England, Ghana, Croatia, Panama) 11%
$18,507 Vol.
$18,507 Vol.
Group I (Senegal, Norway, France, Iraq)
24%
Group J (Algeria, Jordan, Argentina, Austria)
22%
Group H (Cape Verde, Uruguay, Spain, Saudi Arabia)
13%
Group L (England, Ghana, Croatia, Panama)
11%
Group A (Mexico, South Korea, South Africa, Czechia)
10%
Group K (Colombia, Congo DR, Portugal, Uzbekistan)
8%
Group C (Scotland, Brazil, Haiti, Morocco)
7%
Group E (Curaçao, Ecuador, Germany, Ivory Coast)
6%
Group F (Tunisia, Japan, Netherlands, Sweden)
6%
Group D (Paraguay, Türkiye, USA, Australia)
3%
Group G (New Zealand, Iran, Egypt, Belgium)
3%
Group B (Canada, Qatar, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Switzerland)
2%
Group I (Senegal, Norway, France, Iraq) 24%
Group J (Algeria, Jordan, Argentina, Austria) 22%
Group H (Cape Verde, Uruguay, Spain, Saudi Arabia) 13%
Group L (England, Ghana, Croatia, Panama) 11%
$18,507 Vol.
$18,507 Vol.
Group I (Senegal, Norway, France, Iraq)
24%
Group J (Algeria, Jordan, Argentina, Austria)
22%
Group H (Cape Verde, Uruguay, Spain, Saudi Arabia)
13%
Group L (England, Ghana, Croatia, Panama)
11%
Group A (Mexico, South Korea, South Africa, Czechia)
10%
Group K (Colombia, Congo DR, Portugal, Uzbekistan)
8%
Group C (Scotland, Brazil, Haiti, Morocco)
7%
Group E (Curaçao, Ecuador, Germany, Ivory Coast)
6%
Group F (Tunisia, Japan, Netherlands, Sweden)
6%
Group D (Paraguay, Türkiye, USA, Australia)
3%
Group G (New Zealand, Iran, Egypt, Belgium)
3%
Group B (Canada, Qatar, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Switzerland)
2%
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jun 5, 2026, 3:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...France's status as the outright favorite to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup at around +400 underpins Group I's 22.5% implied probability, reflecting the squad's depth, Kylian Mbappé's form, and a dominant group-stage opener. Spain's unexpected draw against Cape Verde has tempered Group H's appeal despite La Roja's Euro pedigree and Lamine Yamal's influence, while England's consistency and Croatia's experience support Group L. Portugal and Argentina anchor their respective groups amid solid pre-tournament positioning. "Other" leads at 50% as traders price in broader paths to the title through unlisted or lower-seeded groups, with early results and roster health continuing to shape consensus ahead of knockout stages.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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