Trader sentiment for Elon Musk’s tweet volume over June 18–20 centers on his established posting cadence of roughly 30–35 posts daily, which historically points toward the 65–89 or 40–64 buckets that together command over 85% of market-implied probability. Recent similar short windows show consistent mid-range totals absent major product launches or global crises, while the mid-June period lacks immediate catalysts such as earnings calls or high-profile appearances that typically drive spikes. Weekend timing and routine X engagement patterns further anchor expectations around these lower-to-mid ranges, with traders viewing the narrow 90–114 band as a secondary possibility only if unexpected news emerges.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено40-64 50%
65-89 36%
90-114 7.1%
<40 7%
$37,258 Обс.
$37,258 Обс.
<40
7%
40-64
50%
65-89
36%
90-114
7%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 50%
65-89 36%
90-114 7.1%
<40 7%
$37,258 Обс.
$37,258 Обс.
<40
7%
40-64
50%
65-89
36%
90-114
7%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 15, 2026, 12:13 PM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Джерело вирішення
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Elon Musk’s tweet volume over June 18–20 centers on his established posting cadence of roughly 30–35 posts daily, which historically points toward the 65–89 or 40–64 buckets that together command over 85% of market-implied probability. Recent similar short windows show consistent mid-range totals absent major product launches or global crises, while the mid-June period lacks immediate catalysts such as earnings calls or high-profile appearances that typically drive spikes. Weekend timing and routine X engagement patterns further anchor expectations around these lower-to-mid ranges, with traders viewing the narrow 90–114 band as a secondary possibility only if unexpected news emerges.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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