**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** dominates trader sentiment for 2026’s highest-grossing film due to its confirmed $2.52 billion worldwide total after a record $360 million domestic opening that surpassed *Avengers: Endgame*. The Tom Holland-led Sony release, directed by Destin Daniel Cretton, achieved this through exceptional legs, international performance, and cultural momentum as the first film since *Endgame* to clear $2.5 billion, creating an insurmountable lead with only weeks remaining in the year. *Avengers: Doomsday* holds the next position on strong presales and December 18 release expectations, yet faces a narrow window to close a gap exceeding $700 million against frontrunners like *The Odyssey*. Lower-probability titles such as *Wicked: For Good*, *Toy Story 5*, and *The Super Mario Galaxy Movie* trail far behind in current grosses and lack catalysts to overtake. Market-implied odds reflect this established hierarchy and limited remaining upside for challengers.