Spider-Man: Brand New Day's record-shattering $2.52 billion worldwide gross, including a record $360 million domestic opening and sustained legs that pushed it past $959 million in North America alone, has locked in overwhelming trader consensus at 89.5% implied probability. Released in late July, the Tom Holland-led Marvel-Sony film leveraged franchise momentum and broad audience appeal to dominate 2026 earnings, outpacing all competitors by more than $700 million. Avengers: Doomsday holds the next spot at 10% on strong December pre-sales and Russo brothers pedigree, though its late-year window limits upside against the established leader. Remaining titles like Wicked: For Good or The Odyssey trail far behind with negligible shares, reflecting limited paths to overtake the frontrunner before year-end close.