Trader consensus strongly favors Avengers: Doomsday for the biggest opening week of 2026 at 67.5% implied probability, driven by the MCU's established pattern of massive event-film debuts fueled by ensemble casts, multiverse narratives, and broad marketing campaigns. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits at 27.5%, supported by the franchise's reliable audience draw yet tempered by its comparatively narrower scope versus a full Avengers crossover. The remaining titles, including The Super Mario Galaxy Movie and Dune: Messiah, hold minimal shares because animated and standalone entries have historically posted lower opening weekends than peak superhero spectacles. Upcoming catalysts such as trailer drops or confirmed release dates could shift momentum, though the current gap reflects traders' weighting of proven box-office precedents.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWhich movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 64%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 9%
The Odyssey 2.8%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie 1.6%
$21,486 Обс.
$21,486 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
68%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
23%
The Odyssey
11%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
2%
Toy Story 5
1%
Dune: Messiah
1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
1%
Avengers: Doomsday 64%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 9%
The Odyssey 2.8%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie 1.6%
$21,486 Обс.
$21,486 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
$1,350 Обс.
68%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$1,214 Обс.
23%
The Odyssey
$1,342 Обс.
11%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
$1,365 Обс.
2%
Toy Story 5
$816 Обс.
1%
Dune: Messiah
$1,206 Обс.
1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$1,155 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus strongly favors Avengers: Doomsday for the biggest opening week of 2026 at 67.5% implied probability, driven by the MCU's established pattern of massive event-film debuts fueled by ensemble casts, multiverse narratives, and broad marketing campaigns. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits at 27.5%, supported by the franchise's reliable audience draw yet tempered by its comparatively narrower scope versus a full Avengers crossover. The remaining titles, including The Super Mario Galaxy Movie and Dune: Messiah, hold minimal shares because animated and standalone entries have historically posted lower opening weekends than peak superhero spectacles. Upcoming catalysts such as trailer drops or confirmed release dates could shift momentum, though the current gap reflects traders' weighting of proven box-office precedents.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Обсяг
$21,486Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus strongly favors Avengers: Doomsday for the biggest opening week of 2026 at 67.5% implied probability, driven by the MCU's established pattern of massive event-film debuts fueled by ensemble casts, multiverse narratives, and broad marketing campaigns. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits at 27.5%, supported by the franchise's reliable audience draw yet tempered by its comparatively narrower scope versus a full Avengers crossover. The remaining titles, including The Super Mario Galaxy Movie and Dune: Messiah, hold minimal shares because animated and standalone entries have historically posted lower opening weekends than peak superhero spectacles. Upcoming catalysts such as trailer drops or confirmed release dates could shift momentum, though the current gap reflects traders' weighting of proven box-office precedents.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Обсяг
$21,486Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus strongly favors Avengers: Doomsday for the biggest opening week of 2026 at 67.5% implied probability, driven by the MCU's established pattern of massive event-film debuts fueled by ensemble casts, multiverse narratives, and broad marketing campaigns. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits at 27.5%, supported by the franchise's reliable audience draw yet tempered by its comparatively narrower scope versus a full Avengers crossover. The remaining titles, including The Super Mario Galaxy Movie and Dune: Messiah, hold minimal shares because animated and standalone entries have historically posted lower opening weekends than peak superhero spectacles. Upcoming catalysts such as trailer drops or confirmed release dates could shift momentum, though the current gap reflects traders' weighting of proven box-office precedents.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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