Avengers: Doomsday leads trader consensus at 62% implied probability for 2026's biggest opening weekend, fueled by explosive long-lead box office tracking reported in early April that positions it as the year's top grosser despite its December 18 release, bolstered by Marvel's multiverse saga hype, Robert Downey Jr.'s Doctor Doom return, and the Russo brothers' direction. Spider-Man: Brand New Day trails closely at 36% on record-breaking trailer views and projections exceeding $1 billion worldwide from its July 31 slot, capitalizing on Tom Holland's star power and solo superhero appeal. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie's $131 million domestic debut in early April sets a high early benchmark but falls short of anticipated MCU spectacle, while Toy Story 5 eyes June 19 competition; watch Star Wars: The Mandalorian & Grogu tracking ahead of May 22 for potential shifts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWhich movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 45%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 36%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie 7.2%
Toy Story 5 3.2%
$12,782 Обс.
$12,782 Обс.
Avengers: Doomsday
62%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
36%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
7%
Toy Story 5
3%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
2%
Dune: Messiah
1%
The Odyssey
1%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
1%
Avengers: Doomsday 45%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 36%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie 7.2%
Toy Story 5 3.2%
$12,782 Обс.
$12,782 Обс.
Avengers: Doomsday
62%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
36%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
7%
Toy Story 5
3%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
2%
Dune: Messiah
1%
The Odyssey
1%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Avengers: Doomsday leads trader consensus at 62% implied probability for 2026's biggest opening weekend, fueled by explosive long-lead box office tracking reported in early April that positions it as the year's top grosser despite its December 18 release, bolstered by Marvel's multiverse saga hype, Robert Downey Jr.'s Doctor Doom return, and the Russo brothers' direction. Spider-Man: Brand New Day trails closely at 36% on record-breaking trailer views and projections exceeding $1 billion worldwide from its July 31 slot, capitalizing on Tom Holland's star power and solo superhero appeal. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie's $131 million domestic debut in early April sets a high early benchmark but falls short of anticipated MCU spectacle, while Toy Story 5 eyes June 19 competition; watch Star Wars: The Mandalorian & Grogu tracking ahead of May 22 for potential shifts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання