**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** dominates trader sentiment for 2026’s biggest opening week thanks to its record-shattering July 29–31 domestic debut of $360 million—the largest North American opening ever—and a first-week global haul exceeding $900 million. The Tom Holland/Zendaya-led Sony/Marvel film quickly became the year’s highest-grossing title, surpassing Toy Story 5’s earlier performance and establishing a formidable benchmark that later releases must clear. **Avengers: Doomsday** (December 18) holds the second-highest implied probability at 23.5% as the next major MCU event film, though its holiday slot faces stiff competition and historical precedent shows even franchise tentpoles rarely top Spider-Man-level openings. Toy Story 5, Dune: Messiah, and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping (November 20) sit near zero because their releases either already occurred without matching the benchmark or are projected to fall short of the current frontrunner’s pace. Market-implied odds reflect the strong post-release data and the challenges facing future 2026 releases in topping this early standard.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWhich movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 77%
Avengers: Doomsday 24%
Toy Story 5 <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$62,951 Обс.
$62,951 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
77%
Avengers: Doomsday
24%
Toy Story 5
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 77%
Avengers: Doomsday 24%
Toy Story 5 <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$62,951 Обс.
$62,951 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$15,104 Обс.
77%
Avengers: Doomsday
$16,090 Обс.
24%
Toy Story 5
$3,197 Обс.
<1%
Dune: Messiah
$3,010 Обс.
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$3,404 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** dominates trader sentiment for 2026’s biggest opening week thanks to its record-shattering July 29–31 domestic debut of $360 million—the largest North American opening ever—and a first-week global haul exceeding $900 million. The Tom Holland/Zendaya-led Sony/Marvel film quickly became the year’s highest-grossing title, surpassing Toy Story 5’s earlier performance and establishing a formidable benchmark that later releases must clear.
**Avengers: Doomsday** (December 18) holds the second-highest implied probability at 23.5% as the next major MCU event film, though its holiday slot faces stiff competition and historical precedent shows even franchise tentpoles rarely top Spider-Man-level openings. Toy Story 5, Dune: Messiah, and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping (November 20) sit near zero because their releases either already occurred without matching the benchmark or are projected to fall short of the current frontrunner’s pace. Market-implied odds reflect the strong post-release data and the challenges facing future 2026 releases in topping this early standard.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Обсяг
$62,951Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** dominates trader sentiment for 2026’s biggest opening week thanks to its record-shattering July 29–31 domestic debut of $360 million—the largest North American opening ever—and a first-week global haul exceeding $900 million. The Tom Holland/Zendaya-led Sony/Marvel film quickly became the year’s highest-grossing title, surpassing Toy Story 5’s earlier performance and establishing a formidable benchmark that later releases must clear.
**Avengers: Doomsday** (December 18) holds the second-highest implied probability at 23.5% as the next major MCU event film, though its holiday slot faces stiff competition and historical precedent shows even franchise tentpoles rarely top Spider-Man-level openings. Toy Story 5, Dune: Messiah, and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping (November 20) sit near zero because their releases either already occurred without matching the benchmark or are projected to fall short of the current frontrunner’s pace. Market-implied odds reflect the strong post-release data and the challenges facing future 2026 releases in topping this early standard.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Обсяг
$62,951Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** dominates trader sentiment for 2026’s biggest opening week thanks to its record-shattering July 29–31 domestic debut of $360 million—the largest North American opening ever—and a first-week global haul exceeding $900 million. The Tom Holland/Zendaya-led Sony/Marvel film quickly became the year’s highest-grossing title, surpassing Toy Story 5’s earlier performance and establishing a formidable benchmark that later releases must clear. **Avengers: Doomsday** (December 18) holds the second-highest implied probability at 23.5% as the next major MCU event film, though its holiday slot faces stiff competition and historical precedent shows even franchise tentpoles rarely top Spider-Man-level openings. Toy Story 5, Dune: Messiah, and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping (November 20) sit near zero because their releases either already occurred without matching the benchmark or are projected to fall short of the current frontrunner’s pace. Market-implied odds reflect the strong post-release data and the challenges facing future 2026 releases in topping this early standard.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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