Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s third-weekend performance has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward the sub-$72 million outcome, reflecting its steep 51% drop from a record $360 million opening and a $144 million second frame. Typical legs for event-level superhero releases produce precisely this pattern of rapid deceleration by week three, with the film’s $785 million domestic cume already locking in strong overall totals. Market-implied odds near 93% for the lowest bracket capture the limited upside remaining once Friday estimates locked in around $19 million. An upset into the $72–79 million range would require unusually resilient word-of-mouth or weaker-than-expected competition to blunt the drop, scenarios that remain possible but statistically narrow given historical precedents for similar tentpoles.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office
<72m 95.3%
72-79m 3.7%
79-86m <1%
86-93m <1%
$29,039 Обс.
$29,039 Обс.
Aug 16, 2026
<72m
95%
72-79m
4%
79-86m
1%
86-93m
<1%
93m+
<1%
<72m 95.3%
72-79m 3.7%
79-86m <1%
86-93m <1%
$29,039 Обс.
$29,039 Обс.
Aug 16, 2026
<72m
$17,013 Обс.
95%
72-79m
$5,866 Обс.
4%
79-86m
$4,426 Обс.
1%
86-93m
$948 Обс.
<1%
93m+
$786 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s third-weekend performance has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward the sub-$72 million outcome, reflecting its steep 51% drop from a record $360 million opening and a $144 million second frame. Typical legs for event-level superhero releases produce precisely this pattern of rapid deceleration by week three, with the film’s $785 million domestic cume already locking in strong overall totals. Market-implied odds near 93% for the lowest bracket capture the limited upside remaining once Friday estimates locked in around $19 million. An upset into the $72–79 million range would require unusually resilient word-of-mouth or weaker-than-expected competition to blunt the drop, scenarios that remain possible but statistically narrow given historical precedents for similar tentpoles.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 12, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
Обсяг
$29,039Дата завершення
Aug 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s third-weekend performance has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward the sub-$72 million outcome, reflecting its steep 51% drop from a record $360 million opening and a $144 million second frame. Typical legs for event-level superhero releases produce precisely this pattern of rapid deceleration by week three, with the film’s $785 million domestic cume already locking in strong overall totals. Market-implied odds near 93% for the lowest bracket capture the limited upside remaining once Friday estimates locked in around $19 million. An upset into the $72–79 million range would require unusually resilient word-of-mouth or weaker-than-expected competition to blunt the drop, scenarios that remain possible but statistically narrow given historical precedents for similar tentpoles.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Обсяг
$29,039Дата завершення
Aug 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s third-weekend performance has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward the sub-$72 million outcome, reflecting its steep 51% drop from a record $360 million opening and a $144 million second frame. Typical legs for event-level superhero releases produce precisely this pattern of rapid deceleration by week three, with the film’s $785 million domestic cume already locking in strong overall totals. Market-implied odds near 93% for the lowest bracket capture the limited upside remaining once Friday estimates locked in around $19 million. An upset into the $72–79 million range would require unusually resilient word-of-mouth or weaker-than-expected competition to blunt the drop, scenarios that remain possible but statistically narrow given historical precedents for similar tentpoles.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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