Recent China Meteorological Administration ensemble forecasts point to a daily maximum of 31–32°C in Beijing on June 18, aligning with the near-even market probabilities for those two bins. Subtle variations in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and weak southerly flow create the tight spread across the 30–33°C outcomes, while historical June averages near 30–31°C limit the likelihood of extremes above 34°C. Traders are weighting the latest model runs that resolve these local thermodynamic details ahead of the June 18 observation window at Beijing Capital International Airport.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Beijing on June 18?
32°C 34%
31°C 31%
30°C 20%
29°C 9%
$40,923 Vol.
$40,923 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
9%
30°C
20%
31°C
31%
32°C
34%
33°C
8%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 34%
31°C 31%
30°C 20%
29°C 9%
$40,923 Vol.
$40,923 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
9%
30°C
20%
31°C
31%
32°C
34%
33°C
8%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent China Meteorological Administration ensemble forecasts point to a daily maximum of 31–32°C in Beijing on June 18, aligning with the near-even market probabilities for those two bins. Subtle variations in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and weak southerly flow create the tight spread across the 30–33°C outcomes, while historical June averages near 30–31°C limit the likelihood of extremes above 34°C. Traders are weighting the latest model runs that resolve these local thermodynamic details ahead of the June 18 observation window at Beijing Capital International Airport.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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