Recent forecast models from agencies like NOAA and ECMWF indicate Moscow highs on June 17 will likely reach 17–19°C amid a synoptic pattern featuring Atlantic low-pressure influence, scattered thundery showers, and moderate southwesterly winds limiting daytime heating. Cloud cover and precipitation potential suppress peak temperatures below historical June averages near 22°C, while any clearing could allow brief warming toward 20°C. Trader consensus, with 18°C at 30% implied probability, aligns with this narrow range of ensemble outputs, where small shifts in timing or intensity of showers represent the main variables differentiating adjacent outcomes. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these probabilities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Moscow on June 17?
18°C 30%
17°C 24%
19°C 20%
16°C 16%
13°C or below
3%
14°C
3%
15°C
7%
16°C
16%
17°C
24%
18°C
30%
19°C
20%
20°C
10%
21°C
3%
22°C
3%
23°C or higher
1%
18°C 30%
17°C 24%
19°C 20%
16°C 16%
13°C or below
3%
14°C
3%
15°C
7%
16°C
16%
17°C
24%
18°C
30%
19°C
20%
20°C
10%
21°C
3%
22°C
3%
23°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 15, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies like NOAA and ECMWF indicate Moscow highs on June 17 will likely reach 17–19°C amid a synoptic pattern featuring Atlantic low-pressure influence, scattered thundery showers, and moderate southwesterly winds limiting daytime heating. Cloud cover and precipitation potential suppress peak temperatures below historical June averages near 22°C, while any clearing could allow brief warming toward 20°C. Trader consensus, with 18°C at 30% implied probability, aligns with this narrow range of ensemble outputs, where small shifts in timing or intensity of showers represent the main variables differentiating adjacent outcomes. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these probabilities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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