Persistent marine layer and onshore westerly flow from the Pacific are capping daytime heating in San Francisco on June 14, consistent with typical early-summer June Gloom patterns that limit highs near the seasonal average of 68–70°F. Latest model guidance and observational trends point to mostly sunny conditions with temperatures peaking in the 69–72°F range at official stations, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 70–75°F bins. Minor variations in fog clearance timing or boundary-layer mixing could shift the daily maximum by a degree or two, explaining why adjacent outcomes like 72–73°F (30%) and 70–71°F (24%) hold nearly equal weight. Historical analogs show rare excursions above 75°F this early in the season without strong offshore flow.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in San Francisco on June 14?
72-73°F 31%
74-75°F 25%
70-71°F 22%
68-69°F 9%
67°F or below
4%
68-69°F
9%
70-71°F
22%
72-73°F
31%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 31%
74-75°F 25%
70-71°F 22%
68-69°F 9%
67°F or below
4%
68-69°F
9%
70-71°F
22%
72-73°F
31%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 12, 2026, 9:08 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent marine layer and onshore westerly flow from the Pacific are capping daytime heating in San Francisco on June 14, consistent with typical early-summer June Gloom patterns that limit highs near the seasonal average of 68–70°F. Latest model guidance and observational trends point to mostly sunny conditions with temperatures peaking in the 69–72°F range at official stations, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 70–75°F bins. Minor variations in fog clearance timing or boundary-layer mixing could shift the daily maximum by a degree or two, explaining why adjacent outcomes like 72–73°F (30%) and 70–71°F (24%) hold nearly equal weight. Historical analogs show rare excursions above 75°F this early in the season without strong offshore flow.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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