**Short-term forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate a likely daily minimum of 25–27°C on June 13, 2026, under light southerly flow, elevated humidity, and a medium chance of light rain or showers.** These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling while the seasonal signal of above-normal temperatures supports values near the long-term June average low of ~27°C. Recent model runs show tight clustering around 26°C as the mode, with uncertainty arising from variable cloud cover and any localized convective activity that could depress the minimum by 1°C or allow slight warming. Traders weigh these near-term guidance updates against climatological baselines, producing closely matched probabilities for the 25–27°C outcomes. Updated HKO 9-day forecasts and evening observations will provide the next key inputs before resolution.