Meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies tracking southern China indicate Shenzhen's daily maximum temperature reached 31°C on June 14, underpinning the market's 99.9% implied probability for that exact outcome. Regional conditions, including persistent subtropical high pressure, light winds, and typical early-summer humidity levels, have produced stable daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation to moderate peaks. Historical June baselines for the Pearl River Delta average 30–32°C, aligning with current readings and reducing variance. Minor adjustments in official station data or microclimate effects near urban heat islands could theoretically alter the final recorded value, though forecast convergence and real-time monitoring make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Shenzhen on June 14?
31°C 99.9%
26°C <1%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
$101,986 Vol.
$101,986 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99.9%
26°C <1%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
$101,986 Vol.
$101,986 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies tracking southern China indicate Shenzhen's daily maximum temperature reached 31°C on June 14, underpinning the market's 99.9% implied probability for that exact outcome. Regional conditions, including persistent subtropical high pressure, light winds, and typical early-summer humidity levels, have produced stable daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation to moderate peaks. Historical June baselines for the Pearl River Delta average 30–32°C, aligning with current readings and reducing variance. Minor adjustments in official station data or microclimate effects near urban heat islands could theoretically alter the final recorded value, though forecast convergence and real-time monitoring make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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