Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate cluster Shanghai's June 16 overnight low near 22–23°C, with trader consensus favoring these outcomes amid early Meiyu (plum rain) conditions featuring persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and light showers. These factors limit radiative cooling by trapping heat and reducing clear-sky temperature drops, keeping minima above typical dry-season baselines. Slight model spreads in timing and intensity of cloud breaks explain the close odds between 22°C and 24°C, while historical June lows averaging 20–22°C provide context for the narrow distribution. Updated runs from NOAA and regional agencies ahead of June 16 will refine steering patterns and precipitation, potentially shifting probabilities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Shanghai on June 16?
23°C 33%
22°C 29%
24°C 19%
21°C 12%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
9%
22°C
29%
23°C
33%
24°C
19%
25°C
9%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 33%
22°C 29%
24°C 19%
21°C 12%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
9%
22°C
29%
23°C
33%
24°C
19%
25°C
9%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate cluster Shanghai's June 16 overnight low near 22–23°C, with trader consensus favoring these outcomes amid early Meiyu (plum rain) conditions featuring persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and light showers. These factors limit radiative cooling by trapping heat and reducing clear-sky temperature drops, keeping minima above typical dry-season baselines. Slight model spreads in timing and intensity of cloud breaks explain the close odds between 22°C and 24°C, while historical June lows averaging 20–22°C provide context for the narrow distribution. Updated runs from NOAA and regional agencies ahead of June 16 will refine steering patterns and precipitation, potentially shifting probabilities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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