**Current forecast models from MetService and international guidance indicate a maximum temperature of 11–13°C in Wellington on June 16, with 12°C carrying the highest market-implied probability.** Seasonal norms place the June average high near 13°C, and NIWA’s April–June outlook assigns the highest likelihood to near-average temperatures for the Wellington region amid neutral ENSO conditions. Recent model runs show light southerly flow and possible showers moderating daytime peaks, while variability in wind direction and cloud cover creates the narrow spread between 11°C and 13°C outcomes. Traders price the tight clustering around these values because small shifts in the 48-hour forecast—such as delayed frontal passages or stronger northerly advection—can easily alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C before official verification. Updated model guidance over the next 24 hours will likely drive any repricing ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Wellington on June 16?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 16?
12°C 39%
13°C 25%
11°C 22%
14°C 4.4%
BAGO
BAGO
Jun 16, 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
23%
12°C
39%
13°C
25%
14°C
4%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
<1%
12°C 39%
13°C 25%
11°C 22%
14°C 4.4%
BAGO
BAGO
Jun 16, 2026
7°C or below
$149 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$99 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$86 Vol.
1%
10°C
$161 Vol.
1%
11°C
$552 Vol.
23%
12°C
$526 Vol.
39%
13°C
$983 Vol.
25%
14°C
$2,132 Vol.
4%
15°C
$1,609 Vol.
1%
16°C
$78 Vol.
1%
17°C or higher
$142 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models from MetService and international guidance indicate a maximum temperature of 11–13°C in Wellington on June 16, with 12°C carrying the highest market-implied probability.** Seasonal norms place the June average high near 13°C, and NIWA’s April–June outlook assigns the highest likelihood to near-average temperatures for the Wellington region amid neutral ENSO conditions. Recent model runs show light southerly flow and possible showers moderating daytime peaks, while variability in wind direction and cloud cover creates the narrow spread between 11°C and 13°C outcomes. Traders price the tight clustering around these values because small shifts in the 48-hour forecast—such as delayed frontal passages or stronger northerly advection—can easily alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C before official verification. Updated model guidance over the next 24 hours will likely drive any repricing ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$6,149Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models from MetService and international guidance indicate a maximum temperature of 11–13°C in Wellington on June 16, with 12°C carrying the highest market-implied probability.** Seasonal norms place the June average high near 13°C, and NIWA’s April–June outlook assigns the highest likelihood to near-average temperatures for the Wellington region amid neutral ENSO conditions. Recent model runs show light southerly flow and possible showers moderating daytime peaks, while variability in wind direction and cloud cover creates the narrow spread between 11°C and 13°C outcomes. Traders price the tight clustering around these values because small shifts in the 48-hour forecast—such as delayed frontal passages or stronger northerly advection—can easily alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C before official verification. Updated model guidance over the next 24 hours will likely drive any repricing ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,149Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast models from MetService and international guidance indicate a maximum temperature of 11–13°C in Wellington on June 16, with 12°C carrying the highest market-implied probability.** Seasonal norms place the June average high near 13°C, and NIWA’s April–June outlook assigns the highest likelihood to near-average temperatures for the Wellington region amid neutral ENSO conditions. Recent model runs show light southerly flow and possible showers moderating daytime peaks, while variability in wind direction and cloud cover creates the narrow spread between 11°C and 13°C outcomes. Traders price the tight clustering around these values because small shifts in the 48-hour forecast—such as delayed frontal passages or stronger northerly advection—can easily alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C before official verification. Updated model guidance over the next 24 hours will likely drive any repricing ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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