**Recent MetService forecasts anchor trader positioning around 16°C for Wellington’s June 15 maximum, with northerly flow sustaining mild conditions before a shift to southwesterlies.** Official guidance consistently projects a 16°C high and 8°C low under increasing showers and rain later in the day, aligning closely with the market’s secondary outcome at 39.5%. The slim lead for 17°C (48.5%) reflects residual uncertainty in model runs, where persistent warm-air advection from the north could briefly push readings higher before the frontal change and precipitation exert a cooling influence. June climatology places average highs near 13°C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly driven by the ongoing warm spell that already produced record early-June temperatures above 19°C. Key variables differentiating the closely matched 16–17°C outcomes include exact timing of the wind shift, cloud cover thickness, and rainfall onset, all of which MetService and supporting numerical models continue to refine ahead of the 24-hour resolution window.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Wellington on June 15?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 15?
17°C 49%
16°C 40%
18°C 6%
15°C 4.0%
BAGO
BAGO
Jun 15, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
4%
16°C
40%
17°C
49%
18°C
6%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 49%
16°C 40%
18°C 6%
15°C 4.0%
BAGO
BAGO
Jun 15, 2026
11°C or below
$167 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$365 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$1,254 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,015 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,416 Vol.
4%
16°C
$537 Vol.
40%
17°C
$1,421 Vol.
49%
18°C
$736 Vol.
6%
19°C
$670 Vol.
1%
20°C
$636 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$352 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent MetService forecasts anchor trader positioning around 16°C for Wellington’s June 15 maximum, with northerly flow sustaining mild conditions before a shift to southwesterlies.**
Official guidance consistently projects a 16°C high and 8°C low under increasing showers and rain later in the day, aligning closely with the market’s secondary outcome at 39.5%. The slim lead for 17°C (48.5%) reflects residual uncertainty in model runs, where persistent warm-air advection from the north could briefly push readings higher before the frontal change and precipitation exert a cooling influence. June climatology places average highs near 13°C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly driven by the ongoing warm spell that already produced record early-June temperatures above 19°C. Key variables differentiating the closely matched 16–17°C outcomes include exact timing of the wind shift, cloud cover thickness, and rainfall onset, all of which MetService and supporting numerical models continue to refine ahead of the 24-hour resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volume
$8,530Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent MetService forecasts anchor trader positioning around 16°C for Wellington’s June 15 maximum, with northerly flow sustaining mild conditions before a shift to southwesterlies.**
Official guidance consistently projects a 16°C high and 8°C low under increasing showers and rain later in the day, aligning closely with the market’s secondary outcome at 39.5%. The slim lead for 17°C (48.5%) reflects residual uncertainty in model runs, where persistent warm-air advection from the north could briefly push readings higher before the frontal change and precipitation exert a cooling influence. June climatology places average highs near 13°C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly driven by the ongoing warm spell that already produced record early-June temperatures above 19°C. Key variables differentiating the closely matched 16–17°C outcomes include exact timing of the wind shift, cloud cover thickness, and rainfall onset, all of which MetService and supporting numerical models continue to refine ahead of the 24-hour resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,530Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent MetService forecasts anchor trader positioning around 16°C for Wellington’s June 15 maximum, with northerly flow sustaining mild conditions before a shift to southwesterlies.** Official guidance consistently projects a 16°C high and 8°C low under increasing showers and rain later in the day, aligning closely with the market’s secondary outcome at 39.5%. The slim lead for 17°C (48.5%) reflects residual uncertainty in model runs, where persistent warm-air advection from the north could briefly push readings higher before the frontal change and precipitation exert a cooling influence. June climatology places average highs near 13°C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly driven by the ongoing warm spell that already produced record early-June temperatures above 19°C. Key variables differentiating the closely matched 16–17°C outcomes include exact timing of the wind shift, cloud cover thickness, and rainfall onset, all of which MetService and supporting numerical models continue to refine ahead of the 24-hour resolution window.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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