**Forecast models and real-time observations from agencies such as the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) underpin the tight market spread.** Current guidance centers on a maximum of 16°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered thundery showers and moderate westerly winds, conditions that limit surface heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling from rainfall. This places 16°C as the modal outcome at 44% implied probability, just ahead of 15°C at 34.5%, reflecting residual uncertainty in the timing and intensity of showers. Historical June averages near 22°C highlight how today’s cooler, unsettled pattern—driven by a passing frontal system—has compressed probabilities around these two values, with only modest odds on 17°C if convection remains limited. Traders monitor the next model updates and hourly observations for any late-day clearing that could shift the peak.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Warsaw on June 14?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 14?
16°C 44%
15°C 35%
17°C 16%
14°C 7.7%
BAGO
$25,831 Vol.
BAGO
$25,831 Vol.
Jun 14, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
8%
15°C
35%
16°C
44%
17°C
16%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 44%
15°C 35%
17°C 16%
14°C 7.7%
BAGO
$25,831 Vol.
BAGO
$25,831 Vol.
Jun 14, 2026
10°C or below
$364 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$467 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$897 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$2,155 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$4,076 Vol.
8%
15°C
$2,111 Vol.
35%
16°C
$3,540 Vol.
44%
17°C
$3,421 Vol.
16%
18°C
$2,713 Vol.
1%
19°C
$1,245 Vol.
1%
20°C or higher
$4,940 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and real-time observations from agencies such as the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) underpin the tight market spread.** Current guidance centers on a maximum of 16°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered thundery showers and moderate westerly winds, conditions that limit surface heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling from rainfall. This places 16°C as the modal outcome at 44% implied probability, just ahead of 15°C at 34.5%, reflecting residual uncertainty in the timing and intensity of showers. Historical June averages near 22°C highlight how today’s cooler, unsettled pattern—driven by a passing frontal system—has compressed probabilities around these two values, with only modest odds on 17°C if convection remains limited. Traders monitor the next model updates and hourly observations for any late-day clearing that could shift the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$25,831Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 14, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and real-time observations from agencies such as the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) underpin the tight market spread.** Current guidance centers on a maximum of 16°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered thundery showers and moderate westerly winds, conditions that limit surface heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling from rainfall. This places 16°C as the modal outcome at 44% implied probability, just ahead of 15°C at 34.5%, reflecting residual uncertainty in the timing and intensity of showers. Historical June averages near 22°C highlight how today’s cooler, unsettled pattern—driven by a passing frontal system—has compressed probabilities around these two values, with only modest odds on 17°C if convection remains limited. Traders monitor the next model updates and hourly observations for any late-day clearing that could shift the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25,831Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 14, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and real-time observations from agencies such as the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) underpin the tight market spread.** Current guidance centers on a maximum of 16°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered thundery showers and moderate westerly winds, conditions that limit surface heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling from rainfall. This places 16°C as the modal outcome at 44% implied probability, just ahead of 15°C at 34.5%, reflecting residual uncertainty in the timing and intensity of showers. Historical June averages near 22°C highlight how today’s cooler, unsettled pattern—driven by a passing frontal system—has compressed probabilities around these two values, with only modest odds on 17°C if convection remains limited. Traders monitor the next model updates and hourly observations for any late-day clearing that could shift the peak.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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