Recent model consensus from European and global ensembles points to widespread cloud cover and scattered thundery showers across central Poland on June 15, limiting solar heating and anchoring Warsaw’s daily maximum near 17–18 °C. Moderate westerly flow advects cooler maritime air while daytime instability caps further warming, producing a narrow probability distribution that explains the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Minor differences in shower timing or boundary-layer moisture could shift the peak by one degree, accounting for the tight odds; clearer breaks or delayed precipitation would favor 18 °C, whereas earlier or heavier rain would favor 17 °C. Official Polish Institute of Meteorology observations tomorrow will resolve the market once the maximum is recorded.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Warsaw on June 15?
17°C 40%
18°C 38%
19°C 10%
16°C 9%
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
9%
17°C
40%
18°C
38%
19°C
10%
20°C or higher
3%
17°C 40%
18°C 38%
19°C 10%
16°C 9%
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
9%
17°C
40%
18°C
38%
19°C
10%
20°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from European and global ensembles points to widespread cloud cover and scattered thundery showers across central Poland on June 15, limiting solar heating and anchoring Warsaw’s daily maximum near 17–18 °C. Moderate westerly flow advects cooler maritime air while daytime instability caps further warming, producing a narrow probability distribution that explains the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Minor differences in shower timing or boundary-layer moisture could shift the peak by one degree, accounting for the tight odds; clearer breaks or delayed precipitation would favor 18 °C, whereas earlier or heavier rain would favor 17 °C. Official Polish Institute of Meteorology observations tomorrow will resolve the market once the maximum is recorded.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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