**Trader consensus clusters tightly around 27–29°C for Seoul’s June 16 maximum, with 28°C holding a slim 30.5% edge.** This reflects the latest short-range ensemble guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models, which show a modest warming trend from current mid-20s readings amid strengthening subtropical high pressure. Mid-June climatology places typical highs near 26–28°C before the full East Asian monsoon ramp-up, but variable cloud cover, possible scattered showers, and boundary-layer humidity can shift daytime peaks by 1–2°C. Forecast spread arises mainly from differences in simulated convective timing and low-level wind direction; clearer, sunnier conditions favor the upper end of the range while increased moisture or onshore flow caps temperatures near 27°C. Updated model runs and KMA briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could narrow or shift these market-implied probabilities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Seoul on June 16?
28°C 31%
29°C 26%
27°C 20%
30°C 13%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
9%
27°C
20%
28°C
31%
29°C
26%
30°C
13%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
1%
28°C 31%
29°C 26%
27°C 20%
30°C 13%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
9%
27°C
20%
28°C
31%
29°C
26%
30°C
13%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 14, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus clusters tightly around 27–29°C for Seoul’s June 16 maximum, with 28°C holding a slim 30.5% edge.** This reflects the latest short-range ensemble guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models, which show a modest warming trend from current mid-20s readings amid strengthening subtropical high pressure. Mid-June climatology places typical highs near 26–28°C before the full East Asian monsoon ramp-up, but variable cloud cover, possible scattered showers, and boundary-layer humidity can shift daytime peaks by 1–2°C. Forecast spread arises mainly from differences in simulated convective timing and low-level wind direction; clearer, sunnier conditions favor the upper end of the range while increased moisture or onshore flow caps temperatures near 27°C. Updated model runs and KMA briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could narrow or shift these market-implied probabilities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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