Recent short-range forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC Weather converge on a daytime high of 32–34°C for Madrid on June 16, driven by sunny skies, light northwesterly winds, and stable high-pressure conditions typical of mid-June. These values align closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 33°C (44.5%) and 34°C (26.5%), reflecting trader aggregation of ensemble model runs that show modest day-to-day variability. Historical June maxima average near 29–30°C, so the current signal represents a modest positive anomaly without extreme heatwave indicators. Resolution hinges on official AEMET observations, with final readings expected within 24–48 hours as models update.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Madrid on June 16?
33°C 45%
34°C 27%
32°C 25%
31°C 5%
30°C or below
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
25%
33°C
45%
34°C
27%
35°C
5%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 45%
34°C 27%
32°C 25%
31°C 5%
30°C or below
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
25%
33°C
45%
34°C
27%
35°C
5%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC Weather converge on a daytime high of 32–34°C for Madrid on June 16, driven by sunny skies, light northwesterly winds, and stable high-pressure conditions typical of mid-June. These values align closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 33°C (44.5%) and 34°C (26.5%), reflecting trader aggregation of ensemble model runs that show modest day-to-day variability. Historical June maxima average near 29–30°C, so the current signal represents a modest positive anomaly without extreme heatwave indicators. Resolution hinges on official AEMET observations, with final readings expected within 24–48 hours as models update.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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