Current forecast models from the National Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate Ankara's June 14 maximum will likely reach 21–22 °C, as persistent cloud cover and scattered thundery showers suppress daytime solar heating while promoting evaporative cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the 39.5% implied probability for 21 °C and 31.5% for 20 °C, stems from this limited warming potential once convection initiates midday. Differentiation among these tightly clustered outcomes hinges on the precise timing and coverage of showers versus any brief clearing that could allow additional insolation. Historical June averages near 28 °C underscore how anomalous the current stable, moist pattern appears. Updated model runs later today will likely refine resolution thresholds around these narrow temperature bands.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Ankara on June 14?
20°C 48%
19°C or below 26.5%
21°C 24%
22°C 6%
$33,694 Vol.
$33,694 Vol.
19°C or below
27%
20°C
48%
21°C
24%
22°C
6%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
20°C 48%
19°C or below 26.5%
21°C 24%
22°C 6%
$33,694 Vol.
$33,694 Vol.
19°C or below
27%
20°C
48%
21°C
24%
22°C
6%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the National Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate Ankara's June 14 maximum will likely reach 21–22 °C, as persistent cloud cover and scattered thundery showers suppress daytime solar heating while promoting evaporative cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the 39.5% implied probability for 21 °C and 31.5% for 20 °C, stems from this limited warming potential once convection initiates midday. Differentiation among these tightly clustered outcomes hinges on the precise timing and coverage of showers versus any brief clearing that could allow additional insolation. Historical June averages near 28 °C underscore how anomalous the current stable, moist pattern appears. Updated model runs later today will likely refine resolution thresholds around these narrow temperature bands.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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