Recent model consensus from global and regional ensembles points to a minimum temperature near 22°C in Shanghai on June 15, reflecting the market's 43% implied probability for that outcome ahead of 23°C at 34%. Persistent cloud cover and light rain associated with the early plum rain (meiyu) season are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows in the low-20s°C range consistent with climatological baselines for mid-June. Ensemble spread remains modest, with only modest upside risk for slightly warmer readings if daytime heating lingers or downside if heavier showers enhance evaporative cooling. Updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and the next cycle of high-resolution runs expected within 24 hours will further refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Shanghai on June 15?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on June 15?
22°C 43%
23°C 32%
24°C 11%
21°C 7.6%
BAGO
BAGO
Jun 15, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
4%
21°C
8%
22°C
43%
23°C
32%
24°C
17%
25°C
4%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 43%
23°C 32%
24°C 11%
21°C 7.6%
BAGO
BAGO
Jun 15, 2026
17°C or below
$27 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$27 Vol.
1%
19°C
$51 Vol.
1%
20°C
$11 Vol.
4%
21°C
$32 Vol.
8%
22°C
$26 Vol.
43%
23°C
$0 Vol.
32%
24°C
$18 Vol.
17%
25°C
$0 Vol.
4%
26°C
$37 Vol.
1%
27°C or higher
$277 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from global and regional ensembles points to a minimum temperature near 22°C in Shanghai on June 15, reflecting the market's 43% implied probability for that outcome ahead of 23°C at 34%. Persistent cloud cover and light rain associated with the early plum rain (meiyu) season are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows in the low-20s°C range consistent with climatological baselines for mid-June. Ensemble spread remains modest, with only modest upside risk for slightly warmer readings if daytime heating lingers or downside if heavier showers enhance evaporative cooling. Updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and the next cycle of high-resolution runs expected within 24 hours will further refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
Volume
$505Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from global and regional ensembles points to a minimum temperature near 22°C in Shanghai on June 15, reflecting the market's 43% implied probability for that outcome ahead of 23°C at 34%. Persistent cloud cover and light rain associated with the early plum rain (meiyu) season are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows in the low-20s°C range consistent with climatological baselines for mid-June. Ensemble spread remains modest, with only modest upside risk for slightly warmer readings if daytime heating lingers or downside if heavier showers enhance evaporative cooling. Updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and the next cycle of high-resolution runs expected within 24 hours will further refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$505Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from global and regional ensembles points to a minimum temperature near 22°C in Shanghai on June 15, reflecting the market's 43% implied probability for that outcome ahead of 23°C at 34%. Persistent cloud cover and light rain associated with the early plum rain (meiyu) season are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows in the low-20s°C range consistent with climatological baselines for mid-June. Ensemble spread remains modest, with only modest upside risk for slightly warmer readings if daytime heating lingers or downside if heavier showers enhance evaporative cooling. Updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and the next cycle of high-resolution runs expected within 24 hours will further refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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