Recent Met Office and ECMWF model runs for London on June 15 indicate daytime maxima centered near 21–23 °C under building high pressure, with partly cloudy skies, light winds, and limited shower risk that together produce the tight 36.5 % / 32.5 % split between the 22 °C and 23 °C outcomes. Small differences in afternoon insolation, boundary-layer mixing depth, and the precise timing of any thin cloud bands can shift the recorded peak by 1 °C, explaining why these two bins dominate trader consensus while 24 °C+ remains a lower-probability tail. Historical June averages near 19–20 °C provide context for the modest upside, with final resolution hinging on London City Airport observations and the last model updates before midnight.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in London on June 15?
22°C 37%
23°C 33%
21°C 13%
24°C or higher 11.8%
$17,671 Vol.
$17,671 Vol.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
13%
22°C
37%
23°C
33%
24°C or higher
12%
22°C 37%
23°C 33%
21°C 13%
24°C or higher 11.8%
$17,671 Vol.
$17,671 Vol.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
13%
22°C
37%
23°C
33%
24°C or higher
12%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ECMWF model runs for London on June 15 indicate daytime maxima centered near 21–23 °C under building high pressure, with partly cloudy skies, light winds, and limited shower risk that together produce the tight 36.5 % / 32.5 % split between the 22 °C and 23 °C outcomes. Small differences in afternoon insolation, boundary-layer mixing depth, and the precise timing of any thin cloud bands can shift the recorded peak by 1 °C, explaining why these two bins dominate trader consensus while 24 °C+ remains a lower-probability tail. Historical June averages near 19–20 °C provide context for the modest upside, with final resolution hinging on London City Airport observations and the last model updates before midnight.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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