Current forecasts from numerical weather models indicate Moscow's June 15 maximum will likely fall in the narrow 20–23°C range, driving tight market clustering around 21°C and 22°C. A persistent upper-level ridge promoting warm air advection from the south, combined with moderate solar insolation and limited cloud cover, supports these near-climatological values, while weak frontal passages or localized convection introduce minor cooling potential that differentiates the lower-probability 20°C outcome. Traders weigh ensemble spread in short-range guidance, with resolution hinging on official observations of peak daytime temperature under standard surface measurement protocols.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Moscow on June 15?
21°C 24%
22°C 24%
20°C 19%
23°C 15%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
8%
20°C
19%
21°C
24%
22°C
24%
23°C
15%
24°C
7%
25°C
4%
26°C or higher
1%
21°C 24%
22°C 24%
20°C 19%
23°C 15%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
8%
20°C
19%
21°C
24%
22°C
24%
23°C
15%
24°C
7%
25°C
4%
26°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 13, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from numerical weather models indicate Moscow's June 15 maximum will likely fall in the narrow 20–23°C range, driving tight market clustering around 21°C and 22°C. A persistent upper-level ridge promoting warm air advection from the south, combined with moderate solar insolation and limited cloud cover, supports these near-climatological values, while weak frontal passages or localized convection introduce minor cooling potential that differentiates the lower-probability 20°C outcome. Traders weigh ensemble spread in short-range guidance, with resolution hinging on official observations of peak daytime temperature under standard surface measurement protocols.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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