**Recent high-pressure building over western Europe has cleared skies over Paris, promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling and positioning the June 15 minimum near 12–13 °C according to the latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble runs.** Clear skies allow efficient longwave radiation loss from the surface overnight, while light winds limit turbulent mixing that would otherwise moderate temperatures. Boundary-layer humidity and any residual Atlantic advection introduce modest uncertainty, producing the tight 36.5 % / 32.0 % split between the 12 °C and 13 °C bins. Historical June overnight lows in Paris typically range 11–16 °C, so both outcomes sit comfortably inside climatological norms without a dominant mode. Traders are weighting the most recent model guidance on cloud cover and wind forecasts; any shift toward increased low-level moisture or residual cloud would favor the slightly warmer 13 °C resolution, whereas continued clear, calm conditions would support the cooler 12 °C outcome. Resolution hinges on the official Paris-Le Bourget station reading for the 24-hour period ending 15 June.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Paris on June 15?
12°C 37%
13°C 33%
11°C 11%
14°C 11%
10°C or below
2%
11°C
11%
12°C
37%
13°C
33%
14°C
11%
15°C
5%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
12°C 37%
13°C 33%
11°C 11%
14°C 11%
10°C or below
2%
11°C
11%
12°C
37%
13°C
33%
14°C
11%
15°C
5%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent high-pressure building over western Europe has cleared skies over Paris, promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling and positioning the June 15 minimum near 12–13 °C according to the latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble runs.** Clear skies allow efficient longwave radiation loss from the surface overnight, while light winds limit turbulent mixing that would otherwise moderate temperatures. Boundary-layer humidity and any residual Atlantic advection introduce modest uncertainty, producing the tight 36.5 % / 32.0 % split between the 12 °C and 13 °C bins. Historical June overnight lows in Paris typically range 11–16 °C, so both outcomes sit comfortably inside climatological norms without a dominant mode. Traders are weighting the most recent model guidance on cloud cover and wind forecasts; any shift toward increased low-level moisture or residual cloud would favor the slightly warmer 13 °C resolution, whereas continued clear, calm conditions would support the cooler 12 °C outcome. Resolution hinges on the official Paris-Le Bourget station reading for the 24-hour period ending 15 June.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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