Recent Météo-France and ensemble model guidance for June 15 indicate a ridge of high pressure supporting afternoon highs near 26–28 °C, with lighter southerly flow limiting mixing and allowing modest warming above seasonal normals. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS place the most probable maximum between 27 °C and 29 °C, consistent with the market’s heaviest liquidity on those outcomes. Minor uncertainties remain around the timing of any residual cloud cover or localized sea-breeze effects that could cap or boost the peak by 1–2 °C. Updated 12–24 h model runs and surface observations through the evening of June 14 will be the next key inputs for traders assessing resolution risk.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Paris on June 15?
28°C 44%
29°C 30%
27°C 16%
30°C 6.6%
$19,940 Vol.
$19,940 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
16%
28°C
44%
29°C
30%
30°C
7%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 44%
29°C 30%
27°C 16%
30°C 6.6%
$19,940 Vol.
$19,940 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
16%
28°C
44%
29°C
30%
30°C
7%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France and ensemble model guidance for June 15 indicate a ridge of high pressure supporting afternoon highs near 26–28 °C, with lighter southerly flow limiting mixing and allowing modest warming above seasonal normals. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS place the most probable maximum between 27 °C and 29 °C, consistent with the market’s heaviest liquidity on those outcomes. Minor uncertainties remain around the timing of any residual cloud cover or localized sea-breeze effects that could cap or boost the peak by 1–2 °C. Updated 12–24 h model runs and surface observations through the evening of June 14 will be the next key inputs for traders assessing resolution risk.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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