The market-implied odds favor a June 15 daily maximum of 31–32 °C in Singapore, reflecting the National Environment Agency’s climatological baseline near 31 °C tempered by expected afternoon thundery showers under the established Southwest Monsoon. Early June model runs and the May Meteorological Service Singapore outlook highlight El Niño onset plus a developing positive Indian Ocean Dipole, which have already produced several 33–34 °C days with reduced cloud cover; however, forecast guidance for the 15th points to increased convective activity that should limit peak heating. Historical June averages and recent observations confirm that monsoon-driven humidity and scattered rainfall typically cap extremes below the 34–35 °C tail seen on clearer monsoon days, aligning trader consensus with the most probable outcome range.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Singapore on June 15?
31°C 45%
32°C 29%
30°C 17%
33°C 3.5%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
17%
31°C
45%
32°C
29%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 45%
32°C 29%
30°C 17%
33°C 3.5%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
17%
31°C
45%
32°C
29%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market-implied odds favor a June 15 daily maximum of 31–32 °C in Singapore, reflecting the National Environment Agency’s climatological baseline near 31 °C tempered by expected afternoon thundery showers under the established Southwest Monsoon. Early June model runs and the May Meteorological Service Singapore outlook highlight El Niño onset plus a developing positive Indian Ocean Dipole, which have already produced several 33–34 °C days with reduced cloud cover; however, forecast guidance for the 15th points to increased convective activity that should limit peak heating. Historical June averages and recent observations confirm that monsoon-driven humidity and scattered rainfall typically cap extremes below the 34–35 °C tail seen on clearer monsoon days, aligning trader consensus with the most probable outcome range.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong