Recent forecasts from meteorological models point to a daily maximum of 28–29°C in Istanbul on June 26, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes amid typical early-summer variability. Regional pressure patterns, including potential high-pressure influence from the Balkans and moderating sea breezes from the Bosphorus and Black Sea, will largely determine whether temperatures peak near the 28°C consensus or edge higher under clearer skies and stronger insolation. Historical June averages of 25–28°C provide context, while short-range model spreads introduce uncertainty around cloud cover, humidity, and any late-day thunderstorm development that could cap the high. Updated runs from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 26?
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$82,082 KL.
$82,082 KL.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$82,082 KL.
$82,082 KL.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 24, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Recent forecasts from meteorological models point to a daily maximum of 28–29°C in Istanbul on June 26, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes amid typical early-summer variability. Regional pressure patterns, including potential high-pressure influence from the Balkans and moderating sea breezes from the Bosphorus and Black Sea, will largely determine whether temperatures peak near the 28°C consensus or edge higher under clearer skies and stronger insolation. Historical June averages of 25–28°C provide context, while short-range model spreads introduce uncertainty around cloud cover, humidity, and any late-day thunderstorm development that could cap the high. Updated runs from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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