Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and BBC indicate peak temperatures in Madrid on June 18 will likely reach 34–36°C under sunny skies and light easterly winds, aligning with the market’s tight split between 35°C (42.5%) and 36°C (37.5%). High pressure and warm-air advection maintain strong daytime heating, while low humidity and minimal cloud cover limit cooling; small differences in boundary-layer mixing or the precise timing of the daily maximum can shift the outcome by 1°C. Recent warming trends through mid-June, with highs climbing from the low 30s earlier in the week, reinforce trader focus on these thresholds ahead of final observational data.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Madrid on June 18?
35°C 43%
36°C 37%
34°C 10%
37°C 7.4%
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
10%
35°C
43%
36°C
37%
37°C
7%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 43%
36°C 37%
34°C 10%
37°C 7.4%
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
10%
35°C
43%
36°C
37%
37°C
7%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 16, 2026, 1:12 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and BBC indicate peak temperatures in Madrid on June 18 will likely reach 34–36°C under sunny skies and light easterly winds, aligning with the market’s tight split between 35°C (42.5%) and 36°C (37.5%). High pressure and warm-air advection maintain strong daytime heating, while low humidity and minimal cloud cover limit cooling; small differences in boundary-layer mixing or the precise timing of the daily maximum can shift the outcome by 1°C. Recent warming trends through mid-June, with highs climbing from the low 30s earlier in the week, reinforce trader focus on these thresholds ahead of final observational data.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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