Recent forecasts from major models and agencies, including the Met Office and BBC, indicate a high of 33°C for Madrid on June 16 under sunny skies with light northwesterly winds, positioning this outcome as the market leader at 43% implied probability. Nearby 34°C follows at 26.5%, reflecting minor variations across ensemble runs and sources like timeanddate.com projecting up to 34°C. These align with stable high-pressure conditions typical for mid-June in central Spain, where average highs reach 28–30°C but warm anomalies can push peaks higher amid clear skies and minimal cloud cover. With resolution only two days away, model consensus has tightened, though small shifts in timing or local measurements could still adjust the final maximum.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Madrid on June 16?
33°C 44%
34°C 27%
32°C 22%
31°C 5%
30°C or below
3%
31°C
5%
32°C
22%
33°C
44%
34°C
27%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 44%
34°C 27%
32°C 22%
31°C 5%
30°C or below
3%
31°C
5%
32°C
22%
33°C
44%
34°C
27%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from major models and agencies, including the Met Office and BBC, indicate a high of 33°C for Madrid on June 16 under sunny skies with light northwesterly winds, positioning this outcome as the market leader at 43% implied probability. Nearby 34°C follows at 26.5%, reflecting minor variations across ensemble runs and sources like timeanddate.com projecting up to 34°C. These align with stable high-pressure conditions typical for mid-June in central Spain, where average highs reach 28–30°C but warm anomalies can push peaks higher amid clear skies and minimal cloud cover. With resolution only two days away, model consensus has tightened, though small shifts in timing or local measurements could still adjust the final maximum.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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