**Trader sentiment for Shanghai's June 16 minimum temperature centers on closely matched 22°C and 23°C outcomes, reflecting tight ensemble spreads in global and regional models.** Mid-June subtropical conditions feature high humidity and frequent cloud cover that suppresses nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows near the seasonal average of 22–24°C. Recent analyses from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate.com indicate expected overcast skies and light easterly winds on the 16th, which limit temperature drops while urban heat-island effects in Shanghai provide a modest buffer against sharper cooling. Minor differences between leading probabilities stem from variations in predicted cloud thickness and boundary-layer moisture across model runs, with any clearer intervals potentially allowing a dip toward 21°C. Updated CMA and ECMWF guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया16 जून को शंघाई में सबसे कम तापमान?
22°C 39%
23°C 35%
24°C 16%
21°C 7%
18°C या उससे कम
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
7%
22°C
39%
23°C
35%
24°C
16%
25°C
5%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C या इससे अधिक
<1%
22°C 39%
23°C 35%
24°C 16%
21°C 7%
18°C या उससे कम
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
7%
22°C
39%
23°C
35%
24°C
16%
25°C
5%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C या इससे अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Shanghai's June 16 minimum temperature centers on closely matched 22°C and 23°C outcomes, reflecting tight ensemble spreads in global and regional models.** Mid-June subtropical conditions feature high humidity and frequent cloud cover that suppresses nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows near the seasonal average of 22–24°C. Recent analyses from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate.com indicate expected overcast skies and light easterly winds on the 16th, which limit temperature drops while urban heat-island effects in Shanghai provide a modest buffer against sharper cooling. Minor differences between leading probabilities stem from variations in predicted cloud thickness and boundary-layer moisture across model runs, with any clearer intervals potentially allowing a dip toward 21°C. Updated CMA and ECMWF guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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