Recent forecasts from PAGASA and international models indicate daytime highs in Manila around 32–34°C for June 16, 2026, aligning with the early southwest monsoon transition that brings variable cloud cover and scattered showers rather than full suppression of solar heating. Historical June averages near 32°C, with occasional spikes to 34–35°C under clearer conditions or lighter winds, support the market clustering around 33–35°C outcomes. Short-range model runs show modest uncertainty from potential afternoon convection, which could cap peaks near 32–33°C or allow brief clearing to push toward 35°C, explaining the 37.5% and 23.5% implied probabilities on those bins. No extreme heat signals or major tropical systems are currently influencing the region, keeping higher tails (36°C+) at low single-digit odds. Updated model guidance and PAGASA briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Manila on June 16?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 16?
34°C 38%
35°C 24%
33°C 22%
36°C 8%
नया
नया
16 जून, 2026
28°C या उससे कम
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
22%
34°C
38%
35°C
24%
36°C
8%
37°C
2%
38°C या उससे अधिक
1%
34°C 38%
35°C 24%
33°C 22%
36°C 8%
नया
नया
16 जून, 2026
28°C या उससे कम
$17 वॉल्यूम
<1%
29°C
$18 वॉल्यूम
<1%
30°C
$9 वॉल्यूम
1%
31°C
$124 वॉल्यूम
1%
32°C
$346 वॉल्यूम
4%
33°C
$23 वॉल्यूम
22%
34°C
$32 वॉल्यूम
38%
35°C
$18 वॉल्यूम
24%
36°C
$23 वॉल्यूम
8%
37°C
$12 वॉल्यूम
2%
38°C या उससे अधिक
$26 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from PAGASA and international models indicate daytime highs in Manila around 32–34°C for June 16, 2026, aligning with the early southwest monsoon transition that brings variable cloud cover and scattered showers rather than full suppression of solar heating. Historical June averages near 32°C, with occasional spikes to 34–35°C under clearer conditions or lighter winds, support the market clustering around 33–35°C outcomes. Short-range model runs show modest uncertainty from potential afternoon convection, which could cap peaks near 32–33°C or allow brief clearing to push toward 35°C, explaining the 37.5% and 23.5% implied probabilities on those bins. No extreme heat signals or major tropical systems are currently influencing the region, keeping higher tails (36°C+) at low single-digit odds. Updated model guidance and PAGASA briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$612समाप्ति तिथि
16 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from PAGASA and international models indicate daytime highs in Manila around 32–34°C for June 16, 2026, aligning with the early southwest monsoon transition that brings variable cloud cover and scattered showers rather than full suppression of solar heating. Historical June averages near 32°C, with occasional spikes to 34–35°C under clearer conditions or lighter winds, support the market clustering around 33–35°C outcomes. Short-range model runs show modest uncertainty from potential afternoon convection, which could cap peaks near 32–33°C or allow brief clearing to push toward 35°C, explaining the 37.5% and 23.5% implied probabilities on those bins. No extreme heat signals or major tropical systems are currently influencing the region, keeping higher tails (36°C+) at low single-digit odds. Updated model guidance and PAGASA briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$612समाप्ति तिथि
16 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from PAGASA and international models indicate daytime highs in Manila around 32–34°C for June 16, 2026, aligning with the early southwest monsoon transition that brings variable cloud cover and scattered showers rather than full suppression of solar heating. Historical June averages near 32°C, with occasional spikes to 34–35°C under clearer conditions or lighter winds, support the market clustering around 33–35°C outcomes. Short-range model runs show modest uncertainty from potential afternoon convection, which could cap peaks near 32–33°C or allow brief clearing to push toward 35°C, explaining the 37.5% and 23.5% implied probabilities on those bins. No extreme heat signals or major tropical systems are currently influencing the region, keeping higher tails (36°C+) at low single-digit odds. Updated model guidance and PAGASA briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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