**Trader consensus strongly favors 32°C as Manila’s peak temperature on June 14, 2026, reflecting near-certain alignment with seasonal norms and official forecasts.** June marks the onset of the southwest monsoon in Metro Manila, bringing high humidity, frequent afternoon showers, and typical daytime maxima of 31–33°C according to long-term climatology from PAGASA and international models. Extended outlooks for June 14 specifically project highs of 32–34°C with 40% rain chance, consistent with observed trends where cloud cover and precipitation cap extreme heating. Current real-time readings and hourly data through midday show temperatures climbing toward but not exceeding this range, with heat indices elevated by humidity rather than raw air temperature. The 100% market-implied probability for 32°C captures this convergence of monsoon-driven moisture, model consensus, and historical June baselines. Only substantial deviations—such as prolonged clear skies allowing greater insolation or an unforecasted ridge of high pressure—could realistically push the reading to 33°C or higher, while heavier or earlier rainfall would more likely keep it at or below the consensus level.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Manila on June 14?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 14?
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$24,666 वॉल्यूम
$24,666 वॉल्यूम
14 जून, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$24,666 वॉल्यूम
$24,666 वॉल्यूम
14 जून, 2026
27°C or below
$301 वॉल्यूम
No
28°C
$200 वॉल्यूम
No
29°C
$981 वॉल्यूम
No
30°C
$1,224 वॉल्यूम
No
31°C
$4,270 वॉल्यूम
No
32°C
$6,742 वॉल्यूम
Yes
33°C
$3,923 वॉल्यूम
No
34°C
$2,635 वॉल्यूम
No
35°C
$1,716 वॉल्यूम
No
36°C
$1,297 वॉल्यूम
No
37°C or higher
$1,377 वॉल्यूम
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors 32°C as Manila’s peak temperature on June 14, 2026, reflecting near-certain alignment with seasonal norms and official forecasts.**
June marks the onset of the southwest monsoon in Metro Manila, bringing high humidity, frequent afternoon showers, and typical daytime maxima of 31–33°C according to long-term climatology from PAGASA and international models. Extended outlooks for June 14 specifically project highs of 32–34°C with 40% rain chance, consistent with observed trends where cloud cover and precipitation cap extreme heating. Current real-time readings and hourly data through midday show temperatures climbing toward but not exceeding this range, with heat indices elevated by humidity rather than raw air temperature.
The 100% market-implied probability for 32°C captures this convergence of monsoon-driven moisture, model consensus, and historical June baselines. Only substantial deviations—such as prolonged clear skies allowing greater insolation or an unforecasted ridge of high pressure—could realistically push the reading to 33°C or higher, while heavier or earlier rainfall would more likely keep it at or below the consensus level.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$24,666समाप्ति तिथि
14 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors 32°C as Manila’s peak temperature on June 14, 2026, reflecting near-certain alignment with seasonal norms and official forecasts.**
June marks the onset of the southwest monsoon in Metro Manila, bringing high humidity, frequent afternoon showers, and typical daytime maxima of 31–33°C according to long-term climatology from PAGASA and international models. Extended outlooks for June 14 specifically project highs of 32–34°C with 40% rain chance, consistent with observed trends where cloud cover and precipitation cap extreme heating. Current real-time readings and hourly data through midday show temperatures climbing toward but not exceeding this range, with heat indices elevated by humidity rather than raw air temperature.
The 100% market-implied probability for 32°C captures this convergence of monsoon-driven moisture, model consensus, and historical June baselines. Only substantial deviations—such as prolonged clear skies allowing greater insolation or an unforecasted ridge of high pressure—could realistically push the reading to 33°C or higher, while heavier or earlier rainfall would more likely keep it at or below the consensus level.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$24,666समाप्ति तिथि
14 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
**Trader consensus strongly favors 32°C as Manila’s peak temperature on June 14, 2026, reflecting near-certain alignment with seasonal norms and official forecasts.** June marks the onset of the southwest monsoon in Metro Manila, bringing high humidity, frequent afternoon showers, and typical daytime maxima of 31–33°C according to long-term climatology from PAGASA and international models. Extended outlooks for June 14 specifically project highs of 32–34°C with 40% rain chance, consistent with observed trends where cloud cover and precipitation cap extreme heating. Current real-time readings and hourly data through midday show temperatures climbing toward but not exceeding this range, with heat indices elevated by humidity rather than raw air temperature. The 100% market-implied probability for 32°C captures this convergence of monsoon-driven moisture, model consensus, and historical June baselines. Only substantial deviations—such as prolonged clear skies allowing greater insolation or an unforecasted ridge of high pressure—could realistically push the reading to 33°C or higher, while heavier or earlier rainfall would more likely keep it at or below the consensus level.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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