**Forecast models show Paris highs on June 16 centering near 29–31°C under building high pressure and mostly sunny conditions after earlier unsettled weather.** Multiple sources, including Météo France guidance and extended outlooks from BBC Weather and timeanddate.com, indicate a warming trend with daytime maxima around 29°C (light cloud, gentle south-westerly flow) to 31°C under clearer skies, consistent with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes. Ensemble differences arise mainly from subtle variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact steering of warmer air masses, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. Climatologically, mid-June averages hover near 23–24°C, so the current setup represents a notable positive anomaly driven by persistent anticyclonic conditions. With resolution only 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest model runs that show limited diurnal cloud development and minimal precipitation risk, keeping 29°C and 30°C as the dominant probabilities while assigning lower odds to cooler or significantly hotter thresholds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Paris on June 16?
30°C 36%
29°C 33%
28°C 15%
31°C 13%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
15%
29°C
33%
30°C
36%
31°C
13%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
30°C 36%
29°C 33%
28°C 15%
31°C 13%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
15%
29°C
33%
30°C
36%
31°C
13%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Forecast models show Paris highs on June 16 centering near 29–31°C under building high pressure and mostly sunny conditions after earlier unsettled weather.** Multiple sources, including Météo France guidance and extended outlooks from BBC Weather and timeanddate.com, indicate a warming trend with daytime maxima around 29°C (light cloud, gentle south-westerly flow) to 31°C under clearer skies, consistent with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes. Ensemble differences arise mainly from subtle variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact steering of warmer air masses, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. Climatologically, mid-June averages hover near 23–24°C, so the current setup represents a notable positive anomaly driven by persistent anticyclonic conditions. With resolution only 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest model runs that show limited diurnal cloud development and minimal precipitation risk, keeping 29°C and 30°C as the dominant probabilities while assigning lower odds to cooler or significantly hotter thresholds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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