Traders assign the highest implied probability to a 32°C peak in Guangzhou on June 14 because seasonal climatology and ensemble forecasts place the daily maximum near that threshold amid subtropical monsoon conditions. June typically brings average highs of 31–32°C with high humidity and frequent afternoon convection; current model guidance from regional agencies shows partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms that limit daytime heating but still allow brief periods of stronger insolation to reach 31–32°C. Lower odds on 33°C or higher reflect the cooling effect of expected rainfall and cloud cover, while probabilities collapse below 30°C given the absence of any strong cold-air intrusion or prolonged overcast. Updated short-range model runs and official maximum-temperature observations released later today will determine final settlement.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Guangzhou on June 14?
32°C 63.3%
31°C 32%
33°C or higher 8.6%
23°C or below <1%
$35,402 वॉल्यूम
$35,402 वॉल्यूम
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
32%
32°C
63%
33°C or higher
9%
32°C 63.3%
31°C 32%
33°C or higher 8.6%
23°C or below <1%
$35,402 वॉल्यूम
$35,402 वॉल्यूम
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
32%
32°C
63%
33°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 12, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest implied probability to a 32°C peak in Guangzhou on June 14 because seasonal climatology and ensemble forecasts place the daily maximum near that threshold amid subtropical monsoon conditions. June typically brings average highs of 31–32°C with high humidity and frequent afternoon convection; current model guidance from regional agencies shows partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms that limit daytime heating but still allow brief periods of stronger insolation to reach 31–32°C. Lower odds on 33°C or higher reflect the cooling effect of expected rainfall and cloud cover, while probabilities collapse below 30°C given the absence of any strong cold-air intrusion or prolonged overcast. Updated short-range model runs and official maximum-temperature observations released later today will determine final settlement.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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