**Trader consensus centers on 16°C as the most likely daily maximum for Cape Town on June 15, with 49.5% implied probability, reflecting the latest numerical weather prediction consensus.** Current forecasts from sources such as yr.no and BBC Weather project a high near 16°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, consistent with typical mid-winter conditions in the region. June climatology places average highs around 17°C, but recent model runs show modest cooling from a passing Atlantic high-pressure system and reduced insolation due to morning fog or low stratus, shifting the distribution toward 15–17°C. The 23.5% probability on 15°C and 20% on 17°C capture remaining ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover, while probabilities drop sharply outside this range because observed June extremes rarely deviate more than 2–3°C from the mean without major synoptic forcing. No significant warm or cold advection is expected in the final 24–48 hours, keeping resolution tightly clustered around the current guidance.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया15 जून को केप टाउन में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
16°C 48%
15°C 26%
17°C 25%
18°C 2.5%
11°C या उससे कम
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
26%
16°C
48%
17°C
25%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
16°C 48%
15°C 26%
17°C 25%
18°C 2.5%
11°C या उससे कम
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
26%
16°C
48%
17°C
25%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on 16°C as the most likely daily maximum for Cape Town on June 15, with 49.5% implied probability, reflecting the latest numerical weather prediction consensus.** Current forecasts from sources such as yr.no and BBC Weather project a high near 16°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, consistent with typical mid-winter conditions in the region. June climatology places average highs around 17°C, but recent model runs show modest cooling from a passing Atlantic high-pressure system and reduced insolation due to morning fog or low stratus, shifting the distribution toward 15–17°C. The 23.5% probability on 15°C and 20% on 17°C capture remaining ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover, while probabilities drop sharply outside this range because observed June extremes rarely deviate more than 2–3°C from the mean without major synoptic forcing. No significant warm or cold advection is expected in the final 24–48 hours, keeping resolution tightly clustered around the current guidance.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न