Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate a daytime high of 29–30°C for June 14 under persistent cloud cover, occasional showers, and high humidity that limits afternoon heating. These conditions align closely with the market-implied odds favoring 29°C, as typical summer moisture and rainfall patterns cap extremes relative to clearer historical analogs near 31°C. Above-normal seasonal temperatures provide baseline context, yet recent model runs show little upward revision, keeping probabilities for 30°C or higher very low. A realistic challenge could emerge only if skies clear substantially more than expected, allowing greater solar radiation to elevate readings into the next range before official evening observations finalize the daily maximum. Updated HKO guidance will further refine this consensus.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया14 जून को हांगकांग में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
29°C 99.5%
30°C <1%
27°C <1%
31°C <1%
$180,124 वॉल्यूम
$180,124 वॉल्यूम
23°C या उससे कम
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
29°C 99.5%
30°C <1%
27°C <1%
31°C <1%
$180,124 वॉल्यूम
$180,124 वॉल्यूम
23°C या उससे कम
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate a daytime high of 29–30°C for June 14 under persistent cloud cover, occasional showers, and high humidity that limits afternoon heating. These conditions align closely with the market-implied odds favoring 29°C, as typical summer moisture and rainfall patterns cap extremes relative to clearer historical analogs near 31°C. Above-normal seasonal temperatures provide baseline context, yet recent model runs show little upward revision, keeping probabilities for 30°C or higher very low. A realistic challenge could emerge only if skies clear substantially more than expected, allowing greater solar radiation to elevate readings into the next range before official evening observations finalize the daily maximum. Updated HKO guidance will further refine this consensus.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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